kaw.
-$172
- Tracked Trades
- 1,000
- First Seen
- Jan 10, 2026
- Last Trade
- Apr 16, 2026
- Followers
- 2
kaw. is a Kalshi trader with 1,000 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 13 wins and 13 losses on settled markets, -$172 net profit on those trades.
- Win rate
- 50%
- Return on settled
- -2%
- Money traded
- $168.5K
Profit over time
+$510-$660
Jan 26Apr 2
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3239%0%-9 pts
20 to 40¢13532%83%+52 pts
40 to 60¢1748%0%-48 pts
60 to 80¢10967%100%+33 pts
Over 80¢41694%100%+6 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $12500%-$1
$1 to $725020%-$2
$7 to $6125057%+$84
$62 to $7.0K25067%-$252
Categories
TradesWonProfit
US politics35635%-$916
Economic data63+$0
World politics99100%+$639
Entertainment265+$0
Commodities115+$0
US elections590%-$11
Side taken
Yes 58%42% No
If you had copied kaw.
$100 per trade, last 90 days
Nothing to simulate
We have not tracked an entry from kaw. in the last 90 days.
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
Will the WTI front-month settle oil price be >92.99 on Apr 16, 2026?
Apr 16, 3 fills, avg 4¢
Will the WTI front-month settle oil price be >91.99 on Apr 16, 2026?
Apr 16, 36 fills, avg 10¢
Will the WTI front-month settle oil price be >92.99 on Apr 16, 2026?
Apr 16, 14 fills, avg 4¢
Biggest wins
- 1+$639Will Iran close Strait of Hormuz before Jan 2027?$360 on Yes, Feb 17
- 2+$415Will the US government be shut down on Feb 14, 2026?$5.7K on Yes, Feb 13
- 3+$116Will Jeep run an ad during the Big Game 2026?$655 on No, Feb 9
Most traded markets
TradesWonProfit
More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?53+$0
Will the US government be shut down for at least 55 days between Feb 7, 2026 and Dec 31, 2026?33+$0
Will the US government be shut down for at least 60 days between Feb 7, 2026 and Dec 31, 2026?38+$0
Will the US government be shut down for at least 7 days between Feb 7, 2026 and Dec 31, 2026?150+$0
Will Nicolás Maduro be the head of state of Venezuela on Jun 1, 2026?5+$0
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jan 17Apr 16
Profit by month
Jan 2026-$660
Feb 2026+$1.2K
Apr 2026-$665
Similar Kalshi traders
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