rivomarkets

Get an alert the moment dumb.square1 trades.

Their next buy lands on your phone and Telegram with the market, the side and the price.

Get alerts on dumb.square1

Stats as of

dumb.square1

-$276.14
Tracked Trades
27
First Seen
May 20, 2025
Last Trade
Nov 2, 2026

dumb.square1 is a Kalshi trader with 27 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 6 wins and 16 losses on settled markets, -$276.14 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Katie Hobbs,yes Byron Donalds,yes Rob Sand,yes Ty Masterson,yes Jim Pillen,yes Kelly Ayotte,yes Amy Acton,yes Tina Kotek,yes Greg Abbott,yes David Crowley,yes Democratic party,yes Democratic party,yes Ashley Moody,yes Abdul El-Sayed,yes Peggy Flanagan,yes Chris Pappas,yes Sherrod Brown,yes Darline Graham on Nov 2.

Win rate
27%
Return on settled
-14%
Money traded
$3.1K
Typical trade
$56.30
Avg entry
5¢
Kalshi rank
#4,797

Profit over time

+$652.00-$276.00
May 20Nov 2

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢158%13%+5 pts
20 to 40¢331%33%+2 pts
40 to 60¢553%75%+22 pts
60 to 80¢271%
Over 80¢295%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$2 to $14729%+$186.19
$15 to $56717%-$19.52
$81 to $96733%-$6.61
$194 to $580633%-$436.20

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Golf520%+$149.18
Parlays50%-$172.34
US elections10%-$580.22
Bitcoin650%+$287.48
Mentions40%-$226.08
NFL467%+$55.68

Side taken

Yes 74%26% No

If you had copied dumb.square1

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$337.05
Profit
on $700.00 staked
2-5
Record
29% win rate
-48%
Return
Profit over time7 settled trades
+$0.00-$337.05
Aug 10Nov 2

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 7 so far.

By category

sports5 settled-51%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes Katie Hobbs,yes Byron Donalds,yes Rob Sand,yes Ty Masterson,yes Jim Pillen,yes Kelly Ayotte,yes Amy Acton,yes Tina Kotek,yes Greg Abbott,yes David Crowley,yes Democratic party,yes Democratic party,yes Ashley Moody,yes Abdul El-Sayed,yes Peggy Flanagan,yes Chris Pappas,yes Sherrod Brown,yes Darline Graham
Nov 2, 2 fills
Yes7¢$140.75-$140.75
Will Democrats win the House in 2026?
Oct 26
No10¢$580.22-$580.22
yes Delaware,yes Florida International,yes South Alabama,yes New Mexico St.,yes Memphis,yes James Madison,yes Liberty,yes Wyoming,yes Kent St.,yes Tulsa,yes Baylor,yes SMU,yes Duke,yes UConn,yes Miami (OH),yes Delaware St.,yes NC St.,yes Miami (FL),yes Florida Atlantic,yes Northwestern,yes Texas Tech,yes Toledo,yes TCU,yes Yale,yes Rhode Island,yes Butler,yes Campbell,yes Indiana,yes Jackson St.,yes Lafayette,yes LSU,yes Central Connecticut St.,yes LIU,yes New Hampshire,yes Dayton,yes Duquesne
Oct 19
Yes0¢$17.78-$17.78
See every position across 18 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Sam Burns win the The Open Championship?
    $486.05 on No at 59¢, Jul 19
    +$337.76
  2. 2
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $109.36 on No at 25¢, Jul 22
    +$325.24
  3. 3
    When will Trump end his tariffs against China?
    $11.08 on Yes at 5¢, May 20
    +$215.92
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Democrats win the House in 2026?10¢10%-$580.22
BTC price up in next 15 mins?22¢650%+$287.48
Will Sam Burns win the The Open Championship?59¢1100%+$337.76
What will any host or reporter say during ABC World News Tonight with David Muir?56¢20%-$193.74
yes France advances,yes Spain advances,yes Argentina advances,yes Norway advances,no Reg Time: Over 3.5 goals scored,no Reg Time: Over 3.5 goals scored,yes Reg Time: Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Reg Time: Over 2.5 goals scored3¢20%-$13.81

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 5Nov 2

Profit by month

May 2025+$228.98
Jul 2025-$32.34
Jul 2026+$329.33
Aug 2026-$63.36
Oct 2026-$598.00
Nov 2026-$140.75

Kalshi leaderboards

Similar Kalshi traders

Build a bot that copies dumb.square1.

Bring dumb.square1 into the builder. Choose your size and review the backtest. Track new trades on paper or enable supported live copying through your own Kalshi account. Set your limits and inspect each execution from the bot dashboard.