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Stats as of
effay
-$632.52
- Tracked Trades
- 164
- First Seen
- Jan 24, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 26, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 37% won · 19 settled · +$826.42
effay is a Kalshi trader with 164 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 42 wins and 90 losses on settled markets, -$632.52 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Philadelphia,yes Orlando,no Seattle wins by over 6.5 points on Oct 26.
- Win rate
- 32%
- Return on settled
- -7%
- Money traded
- $17.3K
- Typical trade
- $49.47
- Avg entry
- 29¢
- Kalshi rank
- #5,734
Profit over time
+$201.00-$1.3K
Jan 24Oct 26
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3712%7%-5 pts
20 to 40¢5331%40%+9 pts
40 to 60¢5347%37%-10 pts
60 to 80¢1169%67%-2 pts
Over 80¢1091%
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$1 to $294118%-$272.19
$32 to $484132%+$179.32
$51 to $1044144%+$745.87
$104 to $1.6K4135%-$1.3K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Baseball4318%-$1.2K
Parlays2337%+$826.42
Soccer3050%+$197.05
NBA3548%+$386.20
NFL130%-$765.55
Basketball60%-$253.48
Side taken
Yes 76%24% No
If you had copied effay
$100 per bet, last 90 days
-$109.21
Profit
on $1,500.00 staked
4-11
Record
27% win rate
-7%
Return
+$120.51-$379.49
Aug 10Oct 26
Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 15 so far.
By category
sports15 settled-7%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes Philadelphia,yes Orlando,no Seattle wins by over 6.5 points
Oct 26
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026GQJZPFKBDAGCC7P4-WABRLZ3I2
Oct 26
yes Philadelphia,yes Oklahoma City,yes Kansas City
Oct 26
Biggest wins
- 1+$376.36yes Jackson Merrill: 2+,yes San Diego wins by over 1.5 runs$94.68 on Yes at 20¢, Sep 30
- 2+$372.71yes Tampa Bay,no Over 0.5 runs$191.15 on Yes at 34¢, Oct 20
- 3+$348.08yes Both Teams To Score,yes USA$94.77 on Yes at 21¢, Jun 12
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026GQJZPFKBDAGCC7P4-WABRLZ3I21+$0.00
What will be LeBron James's next team?18¢60%-$253.48
yes Korea Republic,yes Mexico wins by more than 1.5 goals18¢20%-$185.32
Will San Diego win the 2026 Pro Baseball National League Championship?12¢20%-$117.72
Will the players in the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby record at least 1 500+ foot home run?30¢20%-$166.82
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 29Oct 26
Profit by month
Jan 2026-$382.69
Feb 2026-$419.97
Mar 2026-$345.64
Apr 2026-$134.41
May 2026+$158.89
Jun 2026+$586.70
Jul 2026-$386.50
Aug 2026+$73.58
Sep 2026+$214.94
Oct 2026+$2.58
Kalshi leaderboards
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