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Stats as of
duck.beef
-$631.45
- Tracked Trades
- 177
- First Seen
- Apr 2, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 30, 2026
- Best In Tennis
- 24% won · 85 settled · +$1.7K
duck.beef is a Kalshi trader with 177 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 29 wins and 117 losses on settled markets, -$631.45 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: James MacKinlay wins on Oct 30.
- Win rate
- 20%
- Return on settled
- -1%
- Money traded
- $81.4K
- Typical trade
- $95.04
- Avg entry
- 12¢
- Kalshi rank
- #5,736
Profit over time
+$7.6K-$3.4K
Apr 2Oct 30
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1046%8%+1 pts
20 to 40¢3630%37%+7 pts
40 to 60¢1448%38%-9 pts
60 to 80¢770%50%-20 pts
Over 80¢1693%67%-26 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $374516%+$238.67
$38 to $95448%+$4.1K
$95 to $4204423%-$1.0K
$468 to $4.5K4438%-$4.0K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Tennis10724%+$1.7K
Parlays350%-$4.7K
Weather1310%-$296.66
NBA867%+$2.8K
Hockey567%+$131.51
Mentions10%-$228.57
Side taken
Yes 82%18% No
If you had copied duck.beef
$100 per bet, last 90 days
-$736.36
Profit
on $3,000.00 staked
6-24
Record
20% win rate
-25%
Return
+$0.00-$1.0K
Oct 19Oct 26
-$1.4K
Max drawdown
518% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.69×
Profit factor
$1.7K won vs $2.4K lost
+3.4 pts
Edge vs implied
20% won at 17¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 14
- Deepest drawdown
- 14 trades
By category
sports26 settled-13%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
James MacKinlay wins
Oct 30
Viktor Durasovic wins
Oct 30, 8 fills
Marco Alvarez wins
Oct 28, 12 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$5.3KGame 1: Orlando at Detroit Winner?$2.4K on Yes at 31¢, Apr 20
- 2+$4.7KWill Stefan Kozlov win the Kozlov vs Feldbausch: Qualification Final match?$185.39 on Yes at 4¢, Apr 13
- 3+$3.8KWill Vit Kopriva win the Rublev vs Kopriva: Round Of 64 match?$1.9K on Yes at 33¢, Apr 24
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Will the **high temp in LA** be >73° on Apr 7, 2026?62¢40%-$2.5K
Will Gauthier Onclin win the Onclin vs Alkaya: Quarterfinal match?80¢2100%+$1.1K
yes Caleb Williams: 1+,yes D'Andre Swift: 1+,yes DeMario Douglas: 1+,yes Drake Maye: 1+1¢20%-$23.21
yes Caleb Williams: 1+,yes Luther Burden III: 1+,yes DeMario Douglas: 1+1¢20%-$46.51
Will August Holmgren win the Holmgren vs Broady: Quarterfinal match?16¢20%-$564.46
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 2Oct 30
Profit by month
Apr 2026-$2.1K
Oct 2026+$1.5K
Kalshi leaderboards
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