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Stats as of

ernestwoods

+$12.3K
Tracked Trades
1,593
First Seen
Sep 13, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 3, 2026
Best In NFL
50% won · 333 settled · +$4.4K

ernestwoods is a Kalshi trader with 1,593 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 529 wins and 548 losses on settled markets, $12.3K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Democratic (DFL)s win the Senate race in Minnesota? on Nov 3.

Win rate
49%
Return on settled
+12%
Money traded
$153.6K
Typical trade
$62.62
Avg entry
48¢
Kalshi rank
#612

Profit over time

+$12.3K-$111.00
Sep 13Nov 3

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢5713%23%+10 pts
20 to 40¢34933%37%+4 pts
40 to 60¢93349%53%+4 pts
60 to 80¢21467%72%+5 pts
Over 80¢4088%94%+6 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $3639949%+$1.6K
$36 to $6339843%+$331.39
$63 to $10839849%+$2.8K
$108 to $5.0K39857%+$7.7K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
NFL48850%+$4.4K
College football48050%+$2.9K
NBA52145%+$646.07
US elections2495%+$3.7K
WNBA7354%+$508.00
Baseball1100%+$96.00

Side taken

Yes 98%2% No

If you had copied ernestwoods

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$9,460.80
Profit
on $82,400.00 staked
390-434
Record
47% win rate
+11%
Return
3 still open
Profit over time824 settled trades
+$9.5K+$0.00
Sep 7Nov 2
-$2.8K
Max drawdown
30% below peak
3.4×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.22×
Profit factor
$52.9K won vs $43.4K lost
+3.7 pts
Edge vs implied
47% won at 44¢ avg
Longest losing streak
13
Deepest drawdown
134 trades

By category

politics11 settled+17%
other203 settled+14%
sports610 settled+11%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

3 open positions worth $873.29

The markets ernestwoods is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what ernestwoods is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will Democratic (DFL)s win the Senate race in Minnesota?
Nov 3, 4 fills
Yes91¢$10.0K+$952.68
2nd Half: Over 115.5 points scored
Nov 3
Yes42¢$114.22+$157.73
Full Game: Over 249.5 points scored
Nov 3, 3 fills
Yes76¢$36.40+$11.60
See every position across 1,220 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Democratics win the Senate race in Texas?
    $3.9K on Yes at 69¢, Nov 1
    +$1.7K
  2. 2
    Will Democratic (DFL)s win the Senate race in Minnesota?
    $10.0K on Yes at 91¢, Nov 3
    +$952.68
  3. 3
    Philadelphia wins
    $2.5K on Yes at 75¢, Sep 20
    +$819.00
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Democratic (DFL)s win the Senate race in Minnesota?91¢2100%+$952.68
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Texas?69¢3100%+$1.7K
Philadelphia wins75¢1100%+$819.00
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Michigan?73¢6100%+$787.60
MIN Vikings wins by over 10.5 points?54¢80%-$1.4K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 6Nov 3

Profit by month

Sep 2026+$1.4K
Oct 2026+$7.5K
Nov 2026+$3.4K

Kalshi leaderboards

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