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Stats as of

especialK

especialk

-$317.93
Tracked Trades
299
First Seen
Jan 3, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 28, 2026

especialK is a Kalshi trader with 299 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 167 wins and 40 losses on settled markets, -$317.93 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Texas be at least 5 percentage points? on Oct 28.

Win rate
81%
Return on settled
-2%
Money traded
$20.4K
Typical trade
$29.50
Avg entry
56¢
Kalshi rank
#5,416

Profit over time

+$63.00-$359.00
Jan 3Sep 24

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢298%8%+1 pts
20 to 40¢2131%30%-1 pts
40 to 60¢4151%64%+13 pts
60 to 80¢4069%50%-19 pts
Over 80¢16895%94%+0 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $107550%-$29.67
$10 to $307574%-$18.31
$30 to $997584%-$168.13
$99 to $1.3K7496%-$101.82

Categories

TradesWonProfit
College basketball24481%-$270.53
College football1692%-$29.33
US elections1+$0.00
NBA14100%+$19.29
NFL90%-$72.32
Weather2100%+$63.00

Side taken

Yes 45%55% No

If you had copied especialK

$100 per bet, last 90 days

Not enough settled trades to score yet

1 of 5 needed have resolved. 1 still open.

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

1 open position worth $1.3K

The markets especialK is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what especialK is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Green Bay wins
Sep 24
Yes70¢$24.48-$24.48
Texas at BYU Winner?
Mar 19
Yes43¢$47.73+$63.27
Hawai'i at Arkansas Winner?
Mar 19
Yes98¢$98.98+$2.02
See every position across 185 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Northwestern at Michigan St.: Total Points
    $67.15 on Yes at 49¢, Jan 9
    +$70.85
  2. 2
    Texas at BYU Winner?
    $47.73 on Yes at 43¢, Mar 19
    +$63.27
  3. 3
    Will the **high temp in Miami** be 78-79° on Jan 3, 2026?
    $37.00 on Yes at 37¢, Jan 3
    +$63.00
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Texas be at least 5 percentage points?77¢1+$0.00
Cincinnati at West Virginia: Total Points96¢13100%+$44.59
Villanova at Providence Winner?95¢783%+$25.39
Miami (FL) at Wake Forest: Total Points97¢11100%+$35.18
SMU at Duke: Total Points98¢6100%+$23.88

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 31Oct 28

Profit by month

Jan 2026-$374.84
Mar 2026+$81.39
Sep 2026-$24.48

Kalshi leaderboards

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