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Stats as of

evident.tortoise7514

+$3.7K
Tracked Trades
514
First Seen
Nov 5, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 8, 2026
Best In Bitcoin
76% won · 323 settled · +$2.7K

evident.tortoise7514 is a Kalshi trader with 514 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 255 wins and 79 losses on settled markets, $3.7K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BTC price up in next 15 mins? on Nov 8.

Win rate
76%
Return on settled
+6%
Money traded
$101.1K
Typical trade
$98.38
Avg entry
71¢
Kalshi rank
#1,939

Profit over time

+$8.3K+$0.00
Nov 5Nov 8

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢168%22%+14 pts
20 to 40¢4032%50%+18 pts
40 to 60¢8951%63%+12 pts
60 to 80¢13971%80%+9 pts
Over 80¢23092%92%+0 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$1 to $4812967%+$611.90
$48 to $9812974%+$1.1K
$98 to $23512887%+$2.6K
$242 to $2.0K12881%-$616.56

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin49476%+$2.7K
Parlays2073%+$945.09

Side taken

Yes 31%69% No

If you had copied evident.tortoise7514

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$5,446.06
Profit
on $18,600.00 staked
128-58
Record
69% win rate
+29%
Return
-$585.32
Max drawdown
36% below peak
9.3×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.94×
Profit factor
$11.2K won vs $5.8K lost
+6.7 pts
Edge vs implied
69% won at 62¢ avg
Longest losing streak
4
Deepest drawdown
17 trades

By category

sports11 settled+352%
crypto174 settled+9%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Nov 8
Yes77¢$21.64+$6.46
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Nov 8, 12 fills
Yes95¢sold 98¢$268.52+$12.86
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Nov 8, 7 fills
No69¢sold 61¢$237.13+$107.14
See every position across 164 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $961.09 on No at 57¢, Nov 8
    +$736.65
  2. 2
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $465.13 on No at 43¢, Nov 6
    +$616.94
  3. 3
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $1.2K on No at 68¢, Nov 6
    +$576.23
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?72¢49476%+$2.7K
yes Minnesota,yes Oklahoma City,yes Los Angeles L,yes San Antonio,yes Toronto,yes SMU,yes Minnesota37¢2100%+$163.29
yes Boston,yes Oklahoma City,yes Los Angeles L,yes San Antonio,yes Toronto,yes Atlanta13¢2100%+$476.82
yes Boston,yes Oklahoma City,yes San Antonio,yes Atlanta73¢2100%+$29.47
yes Oklahoma City,yes San Antonio90¢2100%+$5.90

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 11Nov 8

Profit by month

Nov 2026+$3.7K

Kalshi leaderboards

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