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Stats as of
expected.silkworm9559
-$414.26
- Tracked Trades
- 537
- First Seen
- Jun 18, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 31, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 18% won · 146 settled · +$454.16
expected.silkworm9559 is a Kalshi trader with 537 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 143 wins and 242 losses on settled markets, -$414.26 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026AXXOTDSAPOWBRFWI-SF6MKLI4L on Oct 31.
- Win rate
- 37%
- Return on settled
- -2%
- Money traded
- $54.5K
- Typical trade
- $21.24
- Avg entry
- 11¢
- Kalshi rank
- #5,480
Profit over time
+$493.00-$3.6K
Jun 18Oct 31
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1756%3%-4 pts
20 to 40¢8031%19%-12 pts
40 to 60¢7550%50%+0 pts
60 to 80¢6370%71%+1 pts
Over 80¢14494%95%+1 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $713532%-$96.37
$7 to $2113427%-$557.81
$22 to $7913433%+$1.1K
$80 to $9.3K13464%-$881.14
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays17818%+$454.16
Bitcoin29151%+$235.51
Soccer6537%-$1.1K
Other crypto350%+$12.31
Side taken
Yes 61%39% No
If you had copied expected.silkworm9559
$100 per bet, last 90 days
-$4,547.23
Profit
on $26,000.00 staked
87-173
Record
33% win rate
-17%
Return
+$0.00-$8.2K
Aug 17Oct 26
-$10.2K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.74×
Profit factor
$12.8K won vs $17.3K lost
-3.5 pts
Edge vs implied
33% won at 37¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 18
- Deepest drawdown
- 224 trades
By category
crypto118 settled-16%
sports142 settled-19%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026AXXOTDSAPOWBRFWI-SF6MKLI4L
Oct 31
yes Bayern Munich,yes Chelsea,yes Manchester City,yes Barcelona,yes Atletico,yes Real Betis,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Milan,yes Roma
Oct 31
yes Bayern Munich,yes Chelsea,yes Manchester City,yes Barcelona,yes Atletico,yes Roma
Oct 31
Biggest wins
- 1+$2.9Kyes Bayern Munich,yes Liverpool,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Real Madrid,yes Inter,yes Juventus,yes Milan$46.51 on Yes at 2¢, Oct 25
- 2+$249.03BTC price up in next 15 mins?$166.02 on No at 40¢, Oct 22
- 3+$220.99BTC price up in next 15 mins?$662.98 on No at 75¢, Oct 22
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?62¢28451%+$208.51
yes M´gladbach,yes Dortmund,yes FC Köln,yes Bradford,yes Fleetwood,yes San Antonio,yes Boston,yes San Antonio,yes Roma,yes Torino1¢20%-$92.52
yes Germany,yes Ireland,yes Austria,yes Tie,yes Netherlands,yes Portugal,yes Wales1¢20%-$11.98
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026AXXOTDSAPOWBRFWI-SF6MKLI4L1+$0.00
yes Tie,yes Belarus,yes Spain,yes England,yes Tie,yes Bulgaria,yes Slovakia,yes Slovenia,yes Switzerland5¢20%-$46.87
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 3Oct 31
Profit by month
Jun 2026-$395.39
Jul 2026-$754.12
Aug 2026-$163.34
Sep 2026-$750.18
Oct 2026+$1.6K
Kalshi leaderboards
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