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Stats as of
earth.ball
-$407.75
- Tracked Trades
- 70
- First Seen
- Mar 7, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 17, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 54% won · 28 settled · +$2.2K
earth.ball is a Kalshi trader with 70 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 27 wins and 25 losses on settled markets, -$407.75 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Auburn wins on Oct 17.
- Win rate
- 52%
- Return on settled
- -1%
- Money traded
- $43.2K
- Typical trade
- $267.71
- Avg entry
- 48¢
- Kalshi rank
- #5,505
Profit over time
+$3.6K-$2.4K
Mar 7Oct 17
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1211%11%+0 pts
20 to 40¢1229%67%+37 pts
40 to 60¢2153%53%+0 pts
60 to 80¢1272%57%-14 pts
Over 80¢1388%71%-17 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $651854%+$281.64
$69 to $2711850%+$801.52
$279 to $5821736%-$1.8K
$590 to $4.6K1767%+$261.23
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays3754%+$2.2K
Tennis1050%+$227.72
Baseball767%-$185.35
Soccer10%-$3.9K
MMA350%+$397.86
NBA540%+$580.59
Side taken
Yes 71%29% No
If you had copied earth.ball
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$1,659.84
Profit
on $2,000.00 staked
12-8
Record
60% win rate
+83%
Return
+$1.7K+$0.00
Aug 3Oct 12
-$300.00
Max drawdown
117% below peak
5.5×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
3.07×
Profit factor
$2.5K won vs $800.00 lost
+18.5 pts
Edge vs implied
60% won at 41¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 3
- Deepest drawdown
- 3 trades
By category
sports18 settled+88%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Auburn wins
Oct 17
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026YN2EUE45PTDJ76CC-Q22LIEEUM
Oct 17
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026GR5EBOPS3XHCOKLR-CHTKX6M5F
Oct 17
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.9KGame 6: Denver at Minnesota Winner?$1.7K on Yes at 47¢, May 1
- 2+$1.4KKXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026YN2EUE45PTDJ76CC-Q22LIEEUM$756.43 on Yes at 36¢, Oct 17
- 3+$1.1Kyes Steven Asplund,yes Alexia Thainara,yes Ty Cole Miller,yes Diyar Nurgozhay,yes Manoel Sousa$270.74 on Yes at 20¢, Aug 8
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026GR5EBOPS3XHCOKLR-CHTKX6M5F15¢20%-$801.78
Bayern Munich vs Heidenheim Winner?84¢10%-$3.9K
Will Emerson Jones win the Jones vs Preston: W100 Gifu Quarterfinal match?87¢1100%+$534.84
Will Carlos Prates win the Della Maddalena vs Prates professional MMA fight scheduled for May 2, 2026?82¢1100%+$700.90
yes Baltimore,yes A's,yes New York M,yes New York Y,yes Boston,yes Atlanta,yes Kansas City,yes Los Angeles D18¢20%-$472.87
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 20Oct 17
Profit by month
Mar 2026-$739.04
Apr 2026-$619.73
May 2026-$381.82
Aug 2026+$597.13
Oct 2026+$735.71
Kalshi leaderboards
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