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Stats as of
experimental.swan2158
+$5.3K
- Tracked Trades
- 642
- First Seen
- Sep 28, 2026
- Last Trade
- Nov 4, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 9% won · 34 settled · +$4.5K
experimental.swan2158 is a Kalshi trader with 642 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 163 wins and 354 losses on settled markets, $5.3K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Manchester City wins on Nov 4.
- Win rate
- 32%
- Return on settled
- +58%
- Money traded
- $16.2K
- Typical trade
- $9.43
- Avg entry
- 21¢
- Kalshi rank
- #1,534
Profit over time
+$5.3K-$215.00
Sep 28Nov 4
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢23310%15%+5 pts
20 to 40¢20529%32%+3 pts
40 to 60¢14349%45%-4 pts
60 to 80¢3367%70%+3 pts
Over 80¢2889%100%+11 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $516119%-$49.79
$5 to $916131%+$268.12
$9 to $2416029%+$8.76
$24 to $2.9K16047%+$5.1K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Soccer58834%+$864.79
Parlays409%+$4.5K
College football30%-$7.62
Bitcoin70%-$4.17
Commodities450%+$0.14
Side taken
Yes 99%1% No
If you had copied experimental.swan2158
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$10,969.73
Profit
on $38,400.00 staked
117-267
Record
30% win rate
+29%
Return
+$11.0K-$3.2K
Sep 28Nov 2
-$5.3K
Max drawdown
565% below peak
2.1×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.41×
Profit factor
$37.7K won vs $26.7K lost
+0.5 pts
Edge vs implied
30% won at 30¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 15
- Deepest drawdown
- 159 trades
By category
sports378 settled+30%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Manchester City wins
Nov 4, 2 fills
yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Real Madrid,yes Manchester City,yes Arsenal,yes Viking,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored
Nov 4, 2 fills
Viking wins
Nov 4, 2 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$4.7Kyes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Real Madrid,yes Manchester City,yes Arsenal,yes Viking,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored$37.18 on Yes at 1¢, Nov 4
- 2+$293.19Real Madrid wins$94.98 on Yes at 24¢, Oct 25
- 3+$251.97Eibar wins$47.31 on Yes at 16¢, Oct 3
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026AKOPUGEM45KKVP3R-RCJUXSF3F1+$0.00
Will over 3.5 goals be scored?47¢5037%-$140.52
Will over 2.5 goals be scored?54¢5443%-$354.63
Will over 0.5 goals be scored?85¢467%+$54.36
Tie is the result24¢7533%+$254.62
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 7Nov 4
Profit by month
Sep 2026+$30.43
Oct 2026+$329.95
Nov 2026+$5.0K
Kalshi leaderboards
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