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Stats as of

fire.crotch

-$77.02
Tracked Trades
21
First Seen
Jan 20, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 2, 2026
Best In NFL
54% won · 13 settled · +$1.0K

fire.crotch is a Kalshi trader with 21 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 10 wins and 9 losses on settled markets, -$77.02 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Philadelphia wins on Nov 2.

Win rate
53%
Return on settled
-1%
Money traded
$11.4K
Typical trade
$351.78
Avg entry
45¢
Kalshi rank
#3,998

Profit over time

+$4.0K-$373.00
Jan 20Nov 2

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢411%0%-11 pts
20 to 40¢730%29%-1 pts
40 to 60¢451%100%+49 pts
60 to 80¢668%67%-2 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$9 to $95620%-$135.01
$96 to $352575%+$257.09
$467 to $484580%+$3.2K
$508 to $3.1K540%-$3.4K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
NFL1350%+$191.55
NBA680%-$249.79
College basketball10%-$9.43
College football10%-$9.35

Side taken

Yes 90%10% No

If you had copied fire.crotch

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$258.32
Profit
on $900.00 staked
4-5
Record
44% win rate
+29%
Return
Profit over time9 settled trades
+$301.91-$200.00
Sep 28Nov 2

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 9 so far.

By category

sports9 settled+29%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Philadelphia wins
Nov 2
Yes39¢$3.1K-$3.1K
Kansas City wins
Nov 2
Yes68¢$978.08-$978.08
New England wins
Nov 1, 2 fills
Yes59¢$2.6K+$1.8K
See every position across 16 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Las Vegas wins
    $473.80 on Yes at 21¢, Nov 1
    +$1.8K
  2. 2
    Cincinnati wins
    $963.42 on Yes at 45¢, Nov 1
    +$1.2K
  3. 3
    New England wins
    $2.1K on Yes at 65¢, Nov 1
    +$1.2K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Philadelphia wins38¢20%-$3.2K
New England wins59¢2100%+$1.8K
Kansas City wins68¢10%-$978.08
Cincinnati wins45¢2100%+$1.2K
Toronto at Oklahoma City Winner?65¢10%-$910.65

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 5Nov 2

Profit by month

Jan 2026-$87.35
Sep 2026-$94.76
Oct 2026-$190.66
Nov 2026+$295.75

Kalshi leaderboards

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