rivomarkets

Get an alert the moment fragile.lizard9159 trades.

Their next buy lands on your phone and Telegram with the market, the side and the price.

Get alerts on fragile.lizard9159

Stats as of

fragile.lizard9159

+$1.6K
Tracked Trades
1,321
First Seen
Sep 3, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 20, 2026
Best In Bitcoin
75% won · 75 settled · +$1.1K

fragile.lizard9159 is a Kalshi trader with 1,321 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 401 wins and 275 losses on settled markets, $1.6K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Gold price up in next 15 mins? on Oct 20.

Win rate
59%
Return on settled
+4%
Money traded
$53.9K
Typical trade
$6
Avg entry
64¢
Kalshi rank
#3,729

Profit over time

+$4.3K-$1.8K
Sep 3Oct 20

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2197%0%-7 pts
20 to 40¢24829%31%+2 pts
40 to 60¢27949%36%-13 pts
60 to 80¢40169%80%+11 pts
Over 80¢17488%79%-9 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $133158%-$5
$1 to $633058%-$18
$6 to $2133056%-$217
$21 to $1.8K33065%+$1.8K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Other crypto65657%-$448
Commodities25356%+$1.4K
Bitcoin13685%+$1.4K
XRP15863%-$417
Ethereum9445%-$508
Currencies1100%+$36

Side taken

Yes 57%43% No

If you had copied fragile.lizard9159

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$3042
Profit
on $67600 staked
401-275
Record
59% win rate
-4%
Return
23 still open
Profit over time676 settled trades
+$0-$3.0K
Aug 31Oct 19
-$8.4K
Max drawdown
158% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.89×
Profit factor
$24.5K won vs $27.5K lost
-0.0 pts
Edge vs implied
59% won at 59¢ avg
Longest losing streak
49
Deepest drawdown
137 trades

By category

other7 settled+5%
crypto523 settled-3%
finance146 settled-11%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

4 open positions worth $407

The markets fragile.lizard9159 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what fragile.lizard9159 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Gold price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 20, 2 fills
No36¢sold 41¢$38-$38
Gold price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 20
Yes42¢$29+$40
WTI Oil price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 20, 3 fills
Yes58¢sold 47¢$17Exited
See every position across 113 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    XRP price up in next 15 mins?
    $1.4K on Yes at 44¢, Oct 16
    +$1.7K
  2. 2
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $1.1K on Yes at 57¢, Oct 17
    +$796
  3. 3
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $1.7K on No at 70¢, Oct 16
    +$732
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?64¢13685%+$1.4K
NEAR price up in next 15 mins?71¢27141%+$200
XRP price up in next 15 mins?66¢15863%-$417
Gold price up in next 15 mins?69¢5069%+$711
HYPE price up in next 15 mins?54¢5360%-$906

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 23Oct 20

Profit by month

Sep 2026-$506
Oct 2026+$2.1K

Kalshi leaderboards

Similar Kalshi traders

Build a bot that copies fragile.lizard9159.

Bring fragile.lizard9159 into the builder. Choose your size and review the backtest. Track new trades on paper or enable supported live copying through your own Kalshi account. Set your limits and inspect each execution from the bot dashboard.