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Stats as of

friendly.woodduck4315

+$4.2K
Tracked Trades
161
First Seen
Oct 16, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 17, 2026
Best In Bitcoin
100% won · 94 settled · +$3.3K

This trader is a closer

71% of this trader's buys are at 95¢ or higher, on outcomes that are nearly decided. The win rate is high because the odds are short: copying them risks 95¢ or more to make 5¢ or less. If you want better odds, skip their 95¢+ buys or pick someone else.

friendly.woodduck4315 is a Kalshi trader with 161 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 150 wins and 3 losses on settled markets, $4.2K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BTC price up in next 15 mins? on Oct 17.

Win rate
98%
Return on settled
+5%
Money traded
$85.7K
Typical trade
$296.89
Avg entry
95¢
Kalshi rank
#1,588

Profit over time

+$4.2K-$45.00
Oct 16Oct 17

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢216%
20 to 40¢130%
40 to 60¢248%100%+52 pts
60 to 80¢675%83%+8 pts
Over 80¢15094%99%+5 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$3 to $934191%+$3.95
$95 to $29740100%+$788.47
$316 to $78440100%+$1.1K
$881 to $3.6K40100%+$2.3K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin99100%+$3.3K
Other crypto32100%+$684.31
Commodities1392%+$140.86
XRP680%+$11.06
Ethereum783%+$95.37
Solana4100%+$27.22

Side taken

Yes 43%57% No

If you had copied friendly.woodduck4315

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$414.48
Profit
on $6,200.00 staked
59-3
Record
95% win rate
+7%
Return
-$154.30
Max drawdown
68% below peak
2.7×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
2.38×
Profit factor
$714.48 won vs $300.00 lost
+5.9 pts
Edge vs implied
95% won at 89¢ avg
Longest losing streak
1
Deepest drawdown
6 trades

By category

crypto57 settled+8%
finance5 settled-11%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 17, 42 fills
No97¢$4.9K+$137.94
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 17, 34 fills
Yes94¢$4.3K+$274.83
HYPE price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 17, 20 fills
No97¢$997.68+$33.27
See every position across 59 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $3.7K on Yes at 95¢, Oct 17
    +$213.17
  2. 2
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $3.6K on No at 95¢, Oct 17
    +$210.32
  3. 3
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $1.7K on Yes at 89¢, Oct 17
    +$204.24
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?95¢99100%+$3.3K
DOGE price up in next 15 mins?95¢19100%+$498.75
BNB price up in next 15 mins?99¢3100%+$32.21
XRP price up in next 15 mins?97¢680%+$11.06
WTI Oil price up in next 15 mins?93¢10100%+$158.06

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 20Oct 17

Profit by month

Oct 2026+$4.2K

Kalshi leaderboards

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