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Stats as of
frm561
-$764
- Tracked Trades
- 48
- First Seen
- Jun 20, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 18, 2026
frm561 is a Kalshi trader with 48 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 12 wins and 28 losses on settled markets, -$764 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Josh Allen: 250+,yes Javonte Williams: 15+,yes Christian McCaffrey: 50+ on Oct 18.
- Win rate
- 30%
- Return on settled
- -27%
- Money traded
- $26.1K
- Typical trade
- $93
- Avg entry
- 3¢
- Kalshi rank
- #5,286
Profit over time
+$109-$764
Jun 20Oct 18
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢176%0%-6 pts
20 to 40¢1331%31%+0 pts
40 to 60¢546%60%+14 pts
60 to 80¢469%75%+6 pts
Over 80¢992%100%+8 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $451220%+$61
$46 to $931218%-$513
$94 to $961217%-$615
$96 to $22K1286%+$303
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays3125%-$515
Soccer1742%-$249
Side taken
Yes 81%19% No
If you had copied frm561
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$900
Profit
on $900 staked
0-9
Record
0% win rate
-100%
Return
+$0-$900
Sep 7Oct 12
Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 9 so far.
By category
sports9 settled-100%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes Josh Allen: 250+,yes Javonte Williams: 15+,yes Christian McCaffrey: 50+
Oct 18
yes Sebastian Aho: 1+,yes Joel Eriksson Ek: 1+,yes Kirill Kaprizov: 1+,no Over 9.5 goals scored,no Over 9.5 goals scored
Oct 18
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY0-S2026CX3P5XSHRZV7AKUL-WZVI4GLDC
Oct 18
Biggest wins
- 1+$205yes Morocco wins by more than 1.5 goals,yes Brazil wins by more than 1.5 goals$95 on Yes at 32¢, Jun 24
- 2+$168yes France wins the 1H by more than 1.5 goals,yes France,yes Spain$96 on Yes at 36¢, Jun 26
- 3+$152yes Argentina,yes Lionel Messi: 1+$95 on Yes at 38¢, Jun 21
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY0-S2026CX3P5XSHRZV7AKUL-WZVI4GLDC1+$0
yes Colombia,yes Croatia,yes Luis Diaz: 1+20¢20%-$95
Germany vs Ivory Coast Winner?38¢50%-$143
yes Colombia,yes England wins by more than 1.5 goals,yes Portugal wins by more than 1.5 goals27¢20%-$48
yes Colombia,no Over 1.5 goals scored79¢1100%+$44
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 21Oct 18
Profit by month
Jun 2026-$259
Jul 2026-$19
Sep 2026-$112
Oct 2026-$375
Kalshi leaderboards
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