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Stats as of
np15
-$769
- Tracked Trades
- 1,000
- First Seen
- Apr 24, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 12, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 24% won · 309 settled · +$12.2K
np15 is a Kalshi trader with 1,000 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 239 wins and 705 losses on settled markets, -$769 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026E8E1A274DFF-19FD4771471 on Oct 12.
- Win rate
- 25%
- Return on settled
- -1%
- Money traded
- $97.9K
- Typical trade
- $42
- Avg entry
- 17¢
- Kalshi rank
- #5,303
Profit over time
+$4.2K-$10.6K
Apr 24Oct 12
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢30411%7%-4 pts
20 to 40¢38730%24%-7 pts
40 to 60¢23548%52%+4 pts
60 to 80¢5968%20%-47 pts
Over 80¢1592%100%+8 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1125023%-$426
$11 to $4225028%-$1.5K
$43 to $11925023%-$3.3K
$119 to $1.9K25027%+$4.5K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays33124%+$12.2K
Tennis47728%-$4.8K
Soccer405%-$4.2K
Baseball5625%-$2.3K
NFL617%+$1.2K
Golf6340%-$1.2K
Side taken
Yes 95%5% No
If you had copied np15
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$4476
Profit
on $20000 staked
46-154
Record
23% win rate
-22%
Return
3 still open
+$35-$4.5K
Aug 3Oct 12
-$5.1K
Max drawdown
846% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.71×
Profit factor
$10.9K won vs $15.4K lost
-10.3 pts
Edge vs implied
23% won at 33¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 23
- Deepest drawdown
- 198 trades
By category
sports200 settled-22%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026E8E1A274DFF-19FD4771471
Oct 12
yes Hugo Gaston,yes Henrique Rocha,yes Lucio Ratti,yes Thomas Enrique Menzel Piccioli,yes Anastasia Kulikova,yes Kallista Liu,yes Sophia Santos
Oct 12
Mathys Domenc wins
Oct 12
Biggest wins
- 1+$5.4Kyes Boston,yes New York Y,yes Cincinnati$943 on Yes at 15¢, Sep 13
- 2+$3.4Kyes Pittsburgh,yes Baltimore,yes Buffalo,yes Chicago,yes Detroit$948 on Yes at 22¢, Sep 13
- 3+$3.0KDallas vs New York G Pro Football game: New York G wins?$1.9K on Yes at 39¢, Sep 14
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Aditya Vishal Balsekar,yes Hunter Heck,yes Jing-Jing Lu,yes Chenting Zhu59¢2100%+$1.4K
Dallas vs New York G Pro Football game: New York G wins?39¢1100%+$3.0K
Lando Norris to finish in first67¢230%-$1.5K
yes Grigoriy Lomakin,yes Filip Peliwo,yes Polina Leykina,yes Aruzhan Sagandykova48¢1100%+$1.6K
yes Ryuki Matsuda,yes Filip Peliwo,yes Sam Ryan Ziegann,yes Aruzhan Sagandykova,yes Fukuoka Hawks48¢1100%+$1.4K
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 15Oct 12
Profit by month
Apr 2026-$912
May 2026-$1.4K
Jun 2026-$5.0K
Jul 2026-$1.1K
Aug 2026-$2.1K
Sep 2026+$13.9K
Oct 2026-$4.2K
Kalshi leaderboards
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