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Stats as of

happy.pony0352

+$12.1K
Tracked Trades
435
First Seen
Oct 14, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 24, 2026
Best In Bitcoin
49% won · 380 settled · +$12.1K

happy.pony0352 is a Kalshi trader with 435 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 187 wins and 193 losses on settled markets, $12.1K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BTC price up in next 15 mins? on Oct 24.

Win rate
49%
Return on settled
+39%
Money traded
$60.0K
Typical trade
$9.84
Avg entry
49¢
Kalshi rank
#589

Profit over time

+$12.1K-$673.00
Oct 14Oct 24

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢5211%15%+4 pts
20 to 40¢14431%36%+6 pts
40 to 60¢10447%53%+5 pts
60 to 80¢6770%60%-10 pts
Over 80¢6887%77%-10 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $910910%-$66.80
$9 to $1010954%+$269.16
$10 to $9810967%+$3.6K
$98 to $5.3K10873%+$8.2K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin43549%+$12.1K

Side taken

Yes 60%40% No

If you had copied happy.pony0352

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$69.27
Profit
on $5,100.00 staked
36-15
Record
71% win rate
+1%
Return
Profit over time51 settled trades
+$69.27-$98.41
Oct 12Oct 19
-$439.70
Max drawdown
129% below peak
0.2×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.05×
Profit factor
$1.6K won vs $1.5K lost
+1.1 pts
Edge vs implied
71% won at 69¢ avg
Longest losing streak
2
Deepest drawdown
18 trades

By category

crypto51 settled+1%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 24
Yes82¢$690.30+$151.53
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 24
Yes89¢$577.20+$71.34
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 24, 2 fills
No83¢sold 55¢$691.76+$141.69
See every position across 46 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $1.7K on Yes at 25¢, Oct 14
    +$5.1K
  2. 2
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $1.5K on No at 23¢, Oct 14
    +$4.8K
  3. 3
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $2.7K on Yes at 41¢, Oct 14
    +$3.9K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?49¢43549%+$12.1K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 27Oct 24

Profit by month

Oct 2026+$12.1K

Kalshi leaderboards

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