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Stats as of
residential.bird
+$12.0K
- Tracked Trades
- 238
- First Seen
- Oct 10, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 13, 2026
- Best In College football
- 33% won · 12 settled · +$5.3K
residential.bird is a Kalshi trader with 238 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 56 wins and 117 losses on settled markets, $12.0K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Thiago Cigarran wins on Oct 13.
- Win rate
- 32%
- Return on settled
- +14%
- Money traded
- $189.5K
- Typical trade
- $289.16
- Avg entry
- 15¢
- Kalshi rank
- #591
Profit over time
+$24.5K-$6.0K
Oct 10Oct 13
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢11710%17%+7 pts
20 to 40¢7825%39%+14 pts
40 to 60¢646%40%-6 pts
60 to 80¢1773%100%+27 pts
Over 80¢2097%
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $926053%-$204.42
$94 to $2946039%+$13.3K
$313 to $7095929%+$11.0K
$717 to $27K5920%-$12.1K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Tennis19627%+$1.6K
NFL2986%+$5.1K
College football1333%+$5.3K
Side taken
Yes 90%10% No
If you had copied residential.bird
$100 per bet, last 90 days
-$635.65
Profit
on $5,900.00 staked
15-44
Record
25% win rate
-11%
Return
+$0.00-$635.65
Oct 5Oct 12
-$1.1K
Max drawdown
254% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.86×
Profit factor
$3.8K won vs $4.4K lost
+1.6 pts
Edge vs implied
25% won at 24¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 10
- Deepest drawdown
- 15 trades
By category
sports55 settled-4%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Thiago Cigarran wins
Oct 13
Lucio Ratti wins
Oct 13
Tomas Dummer Macedo wins
Oct 13
Biggest wins
- 1+$13.4KRafael Jodar wins$3.9K on Yes at 23¢, Oct 12
- 2+$13.2KMichaela Bayerlova wins$2.8K on Yes at 18¢, Oct 12
- 3+$12.5KSumit Nagal wins$1.9K on Yes at 13¢, Oct 12
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Rafael Jodar wins23¢24100%+$13.4K
Michaela Bayerlova wins18¢7100%+$13.2K
Sumit Nagal wins13¢7100%+$12.5K
Ye Hongyu wins14¢5100%+$7.2K
Kaito Uesugi wins14¢80%-$2.0K
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 16Oct 13
Profit by month
Oct 2026+$12.0K
Kalshi leaderboards
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