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Stats as of
hardened.turtle1872
+$6.2K
- Tracked Trades
- 360
- First Seen
- Jul 11, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 21, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 17% won · 236 settled · +$6.5K
hardened.turtle1872 is a Kalshi trader with 360 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 49 wins and 207 losses on settled markets, $6.2K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026YAHQQ6A6YPYHX2X2-KQTAQDYPY on Oct 21.
- Win rate
- 19%
- Return on settled
- +41%
- Money traded
- $86.6K
- Typical trade
- $17.69
- Avg entry
- 6¢
- Kalshi rank
- #1,240
Profit over time
+$6.4K-$493.00
Jul 11Oct 21
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1685%8%+4 pts
20 to 40¢4629%26%-3 pts
40 to 60¢3148%42%-6 pts
60 to 80¢2269%55%-15 pts
Over 80¢9395%100%+5 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $89013%-$187.45
$8 to $179011%+$5.5K
$18 to $919032%+$2.3K
$94 to $14K9035%-$1.5K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays32917%+$6.5K
Soccer2747%-$182.44
Tennis467%-$48.93
Side taken
Yes 71%29% No
If you had copied hardened.turtle1872
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$60,032.50
Profit
on $25,100.00 staked
49-202
Record
20% win rate
+239%
Return
+$60.5K-$5.0K
Aug 31Oct 19
-$8.9K
Max drawdown
573% below peak
6.7×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
3.97×
Profit factor
$80.2K won vs $20.2K lost
+1.2 pts
Edge vs implied
20% won at 18¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 22
- Deepest drawdown
- 193 trades
By category
sports250 settled+241%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026YAHQQ6A6YPYHX2X2-KQTAQDYPY
Oct 21
yes Aston Villa,yes Club Brugge,yes Como,yes Inter,no Tie,yes Real Betis,yes Real Madrid,yes Sporting CP,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 6.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored
Oct 21
yes Aston Villa,no Lens,no Como,yes Inter,no Feyenoord,yes Real Madrid,yes Sporting CP,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored
Oct 21
Biggest wins
- 1+$4.5Kno Coritiba,no Chapecoense,yes Bayern Munich,yes Elversberg,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,no Derby,no Swansea,no Kristiansund,yes Viking,yes Liverpool,no Hull City,yes Manchester City,no Crystal Palace,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,no Real Betis,no Elche,no Santander,yes Real Madrid,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,no Pachuca,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,no Strasbourg Alsace,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,no Bologna,no Genoa,no Fiorentina,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,no Alanyaspor,yes Manchester City,yes Roma,yes Inter,no Feyenoord,yes Real Madrid,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored$9.09 on Yes at 0¢, Oct 17
- 2+$1.3Kyes Bayern Munich,no Schalke,no Augsburg,no Paderborn,no Union Berlin,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Viking,no Brentford,no Hull City,yes Manchester City,yes Brighton,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Barcelona,no Elche,no Santander,yes Real Madrid,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,no San Luis,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,no Troyes,yes PSG,no Angers,no Charlotte,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,no Bologna,yes Roma,yes Over 0.5 goals scored$9.34 on Yes at 1¢, Oct 17
- 3+$1.0Kno Schalke,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,no Liverpool,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,no Over 5.5 goals scored,no Osasuna,no Deportivo De La Coruna,no Over 5.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,no Over 5.5 goals scored,no Over 5.5 goals scored,no Troyes wins by more than 2.5 goals,no Over 5.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,no Cagliari,no Como,no Monza,no Lecce,no Sassuolo$51.49 on Yes at 5¢, Oct 10
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Over 0.5 goals scored,no Cucuta,no Fortaleza,no Once Caldas,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,no Asyut Petroleum,no Wadi Degla SC,yes Pyramids,no Necaxa,no Atlas,no Puebla,yes Toluca,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Cincinnati,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Al Nassr,no Al-Taawoun,no Al-Riyadh,no Al-Ittifaq,no Eindhoven,no Slavia Prague,yes Liverpool,yes Manchester City,yes Roma,yes Dortmund,yes Aston Villa,yes Inter,yes Real Betis,yes Real Madrid,yes Sporting CP,yes Over 1.5 goals scored0¢20%-$8.57
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026YAHQQ6A6YPYHX2X2-KQTAQDYPY1+$0.00
yes Bayern Munich,no Union Berlin,no Tie,no Ipswich Town,no Tie,no Crystal Palace,no Nottingham Forest,no Espanyol,yes Barcelona,no Elche,no Santander,no Alaves,yes Real Madrid,no Strasbourg Alsace,no Nice,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,no Over 5.5 goals scored,no Bologna,no Genoa,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Arsenal,yes Barcelona,no Eindhoven,yes Bayern Munich,yes Liverpool,no Fenerbahce,no Feyenoord,no Tie,no Roma,no Slovan Bratislava,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored0¢20%-$9.09
yes America,yes Korea Republic,no Seattle,yes Belgium,yes Tie,yes France,yes Slovakia,no Kazakhstan,no Latvia,yes Belarus,yes England,yes Spain,yes Iceland,yes Switzerland0¢20%-$3.57
yes Argentina,no Comoros,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,no Greece,no Israel,no Kosovo,no Andorra,no Serbia,yes Portugal,no Wales,no Latvia,no Armenia,no Georgia,no Romania,no Hungary,no Over 5.5 goals scored,no Over 5.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored3¢20%-$93.53
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 24Oct 21
Profit by month
Jul 2026-$71.53
Aug 2026-$46.26
Sep 2026+$1.5K
Oct 2026+$4.9K
Kalshi leaderboards
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