Stats as of
theillst
+$4.9K
- Tracked Trades
- 1,135
- First Seen
- Jun 24, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 14, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 16% won · 57 settled · +$5.3K
theillst is a Kalshi trader with 1,135 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 97 wins and 282 losses on settled markets, $4.9K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026RPM5A42EJ6LOF53M-76UYHU64O on Oct 14.
- Win rate
- 26%
- Return on settled
- +29%
- Money traded
- $159.3K
- Typical trade
- $34
- Avg entry
- 6¢
- Kalshi rank
- #1,181
Profit over time
+$4.9K-$3.2K
Jun 24Oct 13
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢4356%12%+6 pts
20 to 40¢22228%28%-1 pts
40 to 60¢14946%49%+2 pts
60 to 80¢8570%33%-37 pts
Over 80¢24494%100%+6 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $828422%+$147
$9 to $3428422%-$689
$34 to $7528426%+$1.5K
$76 to $4.2K28338%+$4.0K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays32416%+$5.3K
Bitcoin72229%+$1.5K
NFL3319%+$115
Soccer4925%-$1.6K
Baseball70%-$263
Side taken
Yes 58%42% No
If you had copied theillst
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$4739
Profit
on $7700 staked
20-57
Record
26% win rate
+62%
Return
140 still open
+$4.7K-$1.1K
Jul 13Oct 12
-$1.7K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
2.8×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.83×
Profit factor
$10.4K won vs $5.7K lost
+6.0 pts
Edge vs implied
26% won at 20¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 15
- Deepest drawdown
- 45 trades
By category
sports45 settled+127%
other28 settled-20%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
128 open positions worth $8.0K
The markets theillst is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026RPM5A42EJ6LOF53M-76UYHU64O
Oct 14
Buffalo wins
Oct 13, 2 fills
Buffalo wins
Oct 13
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.9Kyes Atlanta,yes Cleveland,yes Edmonton,yes San Jose,yes Minnesota$70 on Yes at 4¢, Oct 2
- 2+$1.8Kyes Cleveland,yes Buffalo,yes Over 45.5 points,no Minnesota wins by over 2.5 goals$104 on Yes at 6¢, Oct 13
- 3+$1.6Kno TB Buccaneers wins by over 13.5 points,yes Vegas,yes Colorado wins by over 3.5 goals$103 on Yes at 6¢, Oct 9
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?22¢72229%+$1.5K
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026CBA8E4F05E0-E26B11B4B071+$0
yes Milwaukee,yes Los Angeles D over 2.5 runs scored,yes Carolina,yes Minnesota,yes Seattle3¢2+$0
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026793EEC73DBE-716D309ED681+$0
yes Los Angeles D wins by over 1.5 runs,yes Los Angeles C,yes San Francisco2¢20%-$42
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 17Oct 14
Profit by month
Jun 2026-$1.5K
Jul 2026-$759
Aug 2026-$355
Sep 2026-$59
Oct 2026+$7.6K
Kalshi leaderboards
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