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Stats as of

informal.bear3449

-$525.03
Tracked Trades
88
First Seen
Dec 26, 2025
Last Trade
Nov 8, 2026

informal.bear3449 is a Kalshi trader with 88 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 22 wins and 55 losses on settled markets, -$525.03 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Dallas,yes Boston,yes Los Angeles L,yes Miami,yes Philadelphia,yes Minnesota,yes Denver,yes Detroit,yes Green Bay,yes Houston,yes Los Angeles R,yes San Francisco,yes New York G,yes Kansas City,yes Chicago,yes Houston on Nov 8.

Win rate
29%
Return on settled
-31%
Money traded
$2.3K
Typical trade
$19.38
Avg entry
3¢
Kalshi rank
#4,125

Profit over time

+$13.00-$541.00
Dec 26Nov 8

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢496%7%+1 pts
20 to 40¢832%43%+10 pts
40 to 60¢1550%38%-12 pts
60 to 80¢1170%70%+0 pts
Over 80¢590%100%+10 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$2 to $182247%+$112.04
$18 to $192224%-$174.58
$19 to $272225%-$208.31
$28 to $1742218%-$254.18

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays5613%-$534.44
Golf1029%-$47.89
NFL967%+$69.56
WNBA633%-$38.80
Soccer367%+$5.80
Baseball1100%+$0.83

Side taken

Yes 100%0% No

If you had copied informal.bear3449

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$770.25
Profit
on $1,700.00 staked
4-13
Record
24% win rate
-45%
Return
2 still open
Profit over time17 settled trades
+$0.00-$940.52
Aug 24Nov 2

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 17 so far.

By category

sports17 settled-45%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

2 open positions worth $55.27

The markets informal.bear3449 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what informal.bear3449 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Los Angeles L wins
Nov 8
Yes37¢$9.58+$16.31
Kansas City wins
Oct 26
Yes15¢$9.44-$9.44
yes Oklahoma City,yes Denver,yes Detroit,yes Minnesota,yes Kansas City,yes New York J,yes Houston,yes San Francisco,yes Carolina
Oct 25
Yes1¢$18.69-$18.69
See every position across 72 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Argentina advances,yes Colombia advances,yes Morocco advances,yes France advances,yes Spain advances,yes Las Vegas,yes Portland
    $28.23 on Yes at 11¢, Jul 3
    +$221.59
  2. 2
    yes England advances,yes USA advances,yes Spain advances,yes Portugal advances,yes Switzerland advances,yes Argentina advances,yes Colombia advances,yes Norway advances,yes France advances,yes Mexico advances
    $17.80 on Yes at 9¢, Jun 30
    +$179.98
  3. 3
    yes Alex de Minaur,yes Taylor Fritz,yes Jiri Lehecka,yes Alexander Zverev,yes Frances Tiafoe,yes Spain advances,yes Portugal advances,yes Switzerland advances,yes Argentina advances,yes Colombia advances
    $21.72 on Yes at 16¢, Jul 2
    +$109.92
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Argentina advances,yes Colombia advances,yes Morocco advances,yes France advances,yes Spain advances,yes Las Vegas,yes Portland11¢2100%+$221.59
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY0-S20267E27CEF919E-5782C69B7781+$0.00
Will Scottie Scheffler win the Travelers Championship?57¢60%-$77.74
yes De'Aaron Fox: 4+,yes New York,yes Julian Champagnie: 10+,yes Victor Wembanyama: 10+9¢10%-$87.30
yes Argentina advances,yes Egypt advances,yes Colombia advances,yes Morocco advances,yes France advances,yes Spain advances,yes USA advances,yes Las Vegas9¢20%-$37.58

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 11Nov 8

Profit by month

Dec 2025+$5.78
Jun 2026-$232.94
Jul 2026-$72.98
Aug 2026-$14.02
Sep 2026-$50.37
Oct 2026-$176.81
Nov 2026+$16.31

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