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Stats as of

injured.lemur2384

+$1.2K
Tracked Trades
509
First Seen
Sep 20, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 9, 2026
Best In World politics
90% won · 21 settled · +$999.17

injured.lemur2384 is a Kalshi trader with 509 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 30 wins and 10 losses on settled markets, $1.2K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will PAICV win the 2026 Cape Verde presidential election? on Nov 9.

Win rate
75%
Return on settled
+21%
Money traded
$31.5K
Typical trade
$17.46
Avg entry
44¢
Kalshi rank
#3,093

Profit over time

+$1.2K-$320.00
Sep 28Nov 8

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢18011%38%+28 pts
20 to 40¢11529%67%+38 pts
40 to 60¢8849%100%+51 pts
60 to 80¢5669%75%+6 pts
Over 80¢7090%100%+10 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $712833%+$52.01
$7 to $17127100%+$61.70
$18 to $5112792%+$476.60
$52 to $2.0K12792%+$584.47

Categories

TradesWonProfit
World politics14090%+$999.17
US politics10279%+$809.44
US elections1140%-$633.83
Tech and AI50+$0.00
Commodities5+$0.00
Entertainment46+$0.00

Side taken

Yes 100%0% No

If you had copied injured.lemur2384

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$1,335.05
Profit
on $3,500.00 staked
13-22
Record
37% win rate
-38%
Return
82 still open
Profit over time35 settled trades
+$0.00-$1.3K
Sep 21Nov 9
-$1.5K
Max drawdown
1028% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.39×
Profit factor
$864.95 won vs $2.2K lost
+3.0 pts
Edge vs implied
37% won at 34¢ avg
Longest losing streak
8
Deepest drawdown
34 trades

By category

politics28 settled-31%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

86 open positions worth $9.2K

The markets injured.lemur2384 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what injured.lemur2384 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will Labour win the next New Zealand general election?
Nov 8, 5 fills
Sold Yessold 7¢$62.05Exited
Will it be reported by The Times of Israel that the President of Israel gives Benjamin Netanyahu the first mandate to form a government following the 2026 Knesset election before Jan 1, 2027?
Nov 8, 9 fills
Yes1¢sold 26¢$3.38-$3.38
Will Petar Musa lead MLS in goals for the 2026 season?
Nov 8, 2 fills
Yes1¢sold 5¢$0.50Exited
See every position across 228 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will it be reported by The Times of Israel that the President of Israel gives Gadi Eisenkot the first mandate to form a government following the 2026 Knesset election before Jan 1, 2027?
    $656.14 on Yes at 56¢, Nov 4
    +$517.86
  2. 2
    Will Susie Wiles be the next person to leave the Trump Cabinet?
    $117.96 on Yes at 19¢, Nov 5
    +$510.03
  3. 3
    KXLULAFLAVIODEBATE-26
    $630.00 on Yes at 63¢, Oct 14
    +$370.00
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Katie Zacharia be out as White House Press Secretary before Nov 1, 2026?98¢4100%+$31.11
Will it be reported by The Times of Israel that the President of Israel gives Gadi Eisenkot the first mandate to form a government following the 2026 Knesset election before Jan 1, 2027?56¢12100%+$517.86
What states will redistrict before the 2026 Congressional elections?3¢130%-$3.75
Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Russian-origin diesel fuel is imported into the United States before Dec 1, 2026?51¢12+$0.00
Will average gas prices go below $4.10 by Nov 30, 2026?1+$0.00

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 12Nov 9

Profit by month

Sep 2026-$309.20
Oct 2026+$1.1K
Nov 2026+$390.74

Kalshi leaderboards

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