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Stats as of
incredible.marlin1044
-$576.89
- Tracked Trades
- 461
- First Seen
- Mar 15, 2026
- Last Trade
- Nov 1, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 9% won · 244 settled · +$608.19
incredible.marlin1044 is a Kalshi trader with 461 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 96 wins and 342 losses on settled markets, -$576.89 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Oregon St. wins by over 6.5 points on Nov 1.
- Win rate
- 22%
- Return on settled
- -5%
- Money traded
- $11.8K
- Typical trade
- $13.36
- Avg entry
- 6¢
- Kalshi rank
- #4,613
Profit over time
+$35.00-$3.9K
Mar 15Nov 1
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2177%7%+0 pts
20 to 40¢9630%23%-6 pts
40 to 60¢6550%40%-10 pts
60 to 80¢2967%74%+7 pts
Over 80¢594%100%+6 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $51039%+$30.83
$5 to $1310322%-$70.30
$14 to $2810319%-$1.1K
$29 to $47910333%+$515.10
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays2419%-$236.09
College football3648%+$239.42
Baseball2339%-$253.82
NBA2429%-$181.49
Soccer2162%+$63.72
College basketball2227%-$177.93
Side taken
Yes 91%9% No
If you had copied incredible.marlin1044
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$10,742.18
Profit
on $19,200.00 staked
48-144
Record
25% win rate
+56%
Return
5 still open
+$10.7K-$3.0K
Aug 3Oct 26
-$3.1K
Max drawdown
19685% below peak
3.5×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.75×
Profit factor
$25.1K won vs $14.4K lost
+1.2 pts
Edge vs implied
25% won at 24¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 19
- Deepest drawdown
- 98 trades
By category
sports190 settled+57%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
5 open positions worth $192.62
The markets incredible.marlin1044 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Oregon St. wins by over 6.5 points
Nov 1
USC wins by over 7.5 points
Nov 1
USC wins by over 14.5 points
Nov 1
Biggest wins
- 1+$2.3Kyes Caleb Williams: 225+,yes Colston Loveland: 4+,yes Rome Odunze: 4+,yes Luther Burden III: 60+,yes D'Andre Swift: 60+,yes Chicago wins by over 5.5 points$46.73 on Yes at 2¢, Oct 23
- 2+$811.82yes Josh Allen: 175+,yes Trey McBride: 4+,yes CeeDee Lamb: 4+,yes Trey McBride: 50+,yes CeeDee Lamb: 50+,yes Denzel Boston: 20+,yes Bucky Irving: 40+$478.83 on Yes at 37¢, Oct 31
- 3+$630.22yes Chuba Hubbard: 10+,yes Tetairoa McMillan: 40+,yes Christian Watson: 30+,yes Matthew Golden: 25+,yes Chuba Hubbard: 40+,yes Josh Jacobs: 30+$237.85 on Yes at 27¢, Oct 29
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Josh Allen: 175+,yes Trey McBride: 4+,yes CeeDee Lamb: 4+,yes Trey McBride: 50+,yes CeeDee Lamb: 50+,yes Denzel Boston: 20+,yes Bucky Irving: 40+37¢1100%+$811.82
yes Patrick Mahomes: 1+,yes Kirk Cousins: 1+,yes Patrick Mahomes: 200+,yes Kirk Cousins: 175+,yes Travis Kelce: 25+,yes Brock Bowers: 40+,yes Tre Tucker: 25+,yes Kenneth Walker III: 80+,yes Ashton Jeanty: 50+,yes Kenneth Walker III: 1+5¢20%-$23.41
yes Notre Dame wins by over 6.5 points,yes Over 35.5 points52¢10%-$384.07
yes SMU,yes UCLA,yes Miami (FL),yes Northwestern,yes Texas Tech,yes Kentucky,yes Boise St.,yes Campbell,yes East Tennessee St.,yes Indiana,yes Illinois St.,yes Monmouth,yes South Dakota St.,yes Tennessee Tech,yes Cal Poly12¢10%-$282.46
yes Texas A&M,yes SMU,yes South Carolina St.,yes Lehigh,yes South Dakota,yes Nebraska,yes Memphis,yes Michigan,yes Villanova,yes Yale,yes James Madison,yes Wisconsin,yes Kansas,yes Notre Dame,yes Ohio St.,yes Wake Forest,yes New Mexico,yes Georgia,yes Western Michigan,yes North Dakota St.6¢10%-$281.25
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 4Nov 1
Profit by month
Mar 2026-$257.16
Apr 2026-$392.41
May 2026-$575.47
Jun 2026-$104.82
Jul 2026-$63.86
Aug 2026-$464.90
Sep 2026-$935.28
Oct 2026+$2.3K
Nov 2026-$46.29
Kalshi leaderboards
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