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Stats as of

ishthelion

-$1.9K
Tracked Trades
537
First Seen
Apr 17, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 30, 2026

ishthelion is a Kalshi trader with 537 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 57 wins and 97 losses on settled markets, -$1.9K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will South Carolina be the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election? on Oct 30.

Win rate
37%
Return on settled
-27%
Money traded
$18.1K
Typical trade
$4.83
Avg entry
10¢
Kalshi rank
#5,221

Profit over time

+$148.00-$2.3K
Apr 17Oct 30

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2718%6%-2 pts
20 to 40¢10030%27%-2 pts
40 to 60¢7948%76%+28 pts
60 to 80¢3769%100%+31 pts
Over 80¢5094%100%+6 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $213529%-$8.62
$2 to $513450%+$124.78
$5 to $1913440%+$82.55
$19 to $2.3K13432%-$2.1K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
US elections45841%-$706.83
Soccer5130%-$1.2K
Baseball19+$0.00
Economic data2+$0.00
Mentions70%-$9.36

Side taken

Yes 85%15% No

If you had copied ishthelion

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$3,363.86
Profit
on $4,100.00 staked
23-18
Record
56% win rate
+82%
Return
157 still open
Profit over time41 settled trades
+$3.4K+$0.00
Aug 10Oct 26
-$787.23
Max drawdown
22% below peak
4.3×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
2.87×
Profit factor
$5.2K won vs $1.8K lost
+20.5 pts
Edge vs implied
56% won at 36¢ avg
Longest losing streak
7
Deepest drawdown
10 trades

By category

politics39 settled+91%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

157 open positions worth $2.3K

The markets ishthelion is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what ishthelion is holding

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Mexico wins by more than 1.5 goals?
    $473.48 on Yes at 20¢, Jun 30
    +$1.9K
  2. 2
    Czechia vs Mexico Winner?
    $207.62 on Yes at 49¢, Jun 24
    +$217.93
  3. 3
    Will Democratics win the Senate race in South Carolina?
    $55.19 on Yes at 21¢, Oct 30
    +$208.77
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Bernie Sanders be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?1+$0.00
Will exactly 1 Senate Democratic members lose their primary in 2026?19¢60%-$164.05
Will exactly 0 Senate Democratic members lose their primary in 2026?27¢50%-$256.85
Will Mexico qualify for FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals?28¢50%-$905.85
Will Mexico get eliminated in the Semifinals of the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup?14¢40%-$685.27

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 2Oct 30

Profit by month

Apr 2026-$114.56
May 2026-$521.40
Jun 2026+$564.33
Jul 2026-$2.1K
Aug 2026+$53.09
Sep 2026+$123.10
Oct 2026+$125.54

Kalshi leaderboards

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