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Stats as of
jaredthompson15
-$1.5K
- Tracked Trades
- 561
- First Seen
- Mar 18, 2026
- Last Trade
- Nov 8, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 24% won · 207 settled · +$989.39
jaredthompson15 is a Kalshi trader with 561 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 157 wins and 264 losses on settled markets, -$1.5K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20265FG2FIXSJ4S3B5RW-IEG5Y7YLY on Nov 8.
- Win rate
- 37%
- Return on settled
- -3%
- Money traded
- $88.5K
- Typical trade
- $118.64
- Avg entry
- 30¢
- Kalshi rank
- #4,312
Profit over time
+$2.3K-$7.8K
Mar 18Nov 8
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢9810%9%-1 pts
20 to 40¢14129%27%-2 pts
40 to 60¢16852%47%-5 pts
60 to 80¢7165%61%-4 pts
Over 80¢8395%100%+5 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $7314134%-$1.3K
$74 to $11914033%-$2.0K
$119 to $19014038%+$1.2K
$191 to $1.5K14047%+$651.22
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays27224%+$989.39
Tennis10060%-$44.38
Baseball6149%+$289.59
Hockey3546%-$1.2K
Soccer2050%-$419.02
Bitcoin1138%-$207.49
Side taken
Yes 87%13% No
If you had copied jaredthompson15
$100 per bet, last 90 days
-$1,704.63
Profit
on $12,600.00 staked
27-99
Record
21% win rate
-14%
Return
+$0.00-$4.0K
Sep 28Nov 2
-$5.4K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.83×
Profit factor
$8.2K won vs $9.9K lost
-4.0 pts
Edge vs implied
21% won at 25¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 17
- Deepest drawdown
- 80 trades
By category
sports126 settled-14%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20265FG2FIXSJ4S3B5RW-IEG5Y7YLY
Nov 8
yes Cincinnati,yes Dallas,yes Denver,yes Detroit,yes Houston,yes Los Angeles R,yes Kansas City
Nov 8, 2 fills
yes Tie,no Over 1.5 1H goals scored
Nov 8
Biggest wins
- 1+$2.0Kyes Cincinnati,yes Dallas,yes Denver,yes Detroit,yes Houston,yes Los Angeles R,yes Kansas City$140.76 on Yes at 7¢, Nov 8
- 2+$1.1Kno Over 2.5 goals scored,no Over 6.5 goals scored,no Over 3.5 goals scored,yes Arizona,yes SMU$112.80 on Yes at 9¢, Nov 6
- 3+$971.30no Over 7.5 goals scored,no Over 6.5 goals scored,no Over 9.5 goals scored,no Over 8.5 goals scored$185.01 on Yes at 16¢, Oct 14
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Bitcoin price on May 8, 2026?43¢1138%-$207.49
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY0-S2026YCTBMTE5EMPZG5QQ-VQ5VJMNYL1+$0.00
Tampa Bay vs Cleveland Total Runs?56¢2100%+$422.27
no Over 7.5 goals scored,no Over 6.5 goals scored,no Over 9.5 goals scored,no Over 8.5 goals scored16¢2100%+$971.30
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20265FG2FIXSJ4S3B5RW-IEG5Y7YLY1+$0.00
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 11Nov 8
Profit by month
Mar 2026-$131.40
Apr 2026-$1.4K
May 2026+$799.08
Oct 2026-$5.9K
Nov 2026+$5.1K
Kalshi leaderboards
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