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Stats as of

joealvaras

-$293.28
Tracked Trades
399
First Seen
Nov 18, 2025
Last Trade
Oct 31, 2026
Best In Parlays
22% won ยท 59 settled ยท +$446.23

joealvaras is a Kalshi trader with 399 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 133 wins and 141 losses on settled markets, -$293.28 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Parlay: Denver + Not Luka Donฤiฤ‡: 35+ on Oct 31.

Win rate
49%
Return on settled
-1%
Money traded
$103.4K
Typical trade
$110.66
Avg entry
34ยข
Kalshi rank
#5,531

Profit over time

+$2.3K-$3.4K
Nov 18Oct 30

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20ยข588%8%+0 pts
20 to 40ยข8332%42%+10 pts
40 to 60ยข11850%51%+1 pts
60 to 80ยข7469%53%-16 pts
Over 80ยข6690%91%+2 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $8710042%-$257.46
$87 to $11110043%+$1.1K
$113 to $24810052%+$69.29
$252 to $6.1K9958%-$1.2K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Commodities24456%-$2.0K
Parlays8522%+$446.23
Bitcoin2267%-$304.65
Esports2238%+$312.74
Baseball560%+$252.06
NFL767%+$620.97

Side taken

Yes 56%44% No

If you had copied joealvaras

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$933.51
Profit
on $25,100.00 staked
120-131
Record
48% win rate
+4%
Return
Profit over time251 settled trades
+$1.8K-$849.08
Sep 21Oct 26
-$1.8K
Max drawdown
260% below peak
0.5ร—
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.07ร—
Profit factor
$14.0K won vs $13.1K lost
-0.2 pts
Edge vs implied
48% won at 48ยข avg
Longest losing streak
10
Deepest drawdown
145 trades

By category

sports89 settled+16%
crypto13 settled+13%
finance142 settled-3%
culture5 settled-9%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Parlay: Denver + Not Luka Donฤiฤ‡: 35+
Oct 31
Sold Nosold 87ยข$746.19Exited
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026RBGZGF4VX6FXTAYR-BKNRFALFT
Oct 31
Sold Nosold 90ยข$3.1KExited
yes Denver,yes Detroit,yes Houston,yes Minnesota,no Brandon Miller: 30+,no Jayson Tatum: 30+,no Giannis Antetokounmpo: 35+,no Luka Donฤiฤ‡: 35+
Oct 30
Yes3ยข$93.43-$93.43
See every position across 232 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Gold price up in next 15 mins?
    $857.76 on No at 30ยข, Oct 16
    +$2.0K
  2. 2
    yes Chicago,yes Drake Maye: 17+,yes Drake Maye: 1+,yes Caleb Williams: 200+,no Drake Maye: 325+,yes Luther Burden III: 40+,yes Rome Odunze: 25+,yes Rhamondre Stevenson: 1+
    $93.84 on Yes at 6ยข, Oct 22
    +$1.4K
  3. 3
    Nexus wins
    $763.21 on Yes at 39ยข, Oct 20
    +$1.2K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Gold price up in next 15 mins?51ยข23655%-$2.2K
yes Boston,yes Miami,yes Denver,yes Memphis,yes Minnesota,yes Donovan Mitchell: 20+,yes Jaden McDaniels: 4+,yes Dallas,yes Atlanta2ยข20%-$93.17
BTC price up in next 15 mins?52ยข2267%-$304.65
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026RBGZGF4VX6FXTAYR-BKNRFALFT1+$0.00
yes Minnesota,yes New York,yes Philadelphia,yes Jaden McDaniels: 10+,yes LaMelo Ball: 20+,yes Pascal Siakam: 4+,yes Carolina,yes Bryce Young: 200+,yes Matthew Golden: 40+,yes Tucker Kraft: 25+3ยข20%-$93.37

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 3Oct 31

Profit by month

Nov 2025-$8.21
May 2026-$481.76
Sep 2026-$2.1K
Oct 2026+$2.3K

Kalshi leaderboards

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