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Stats as of

junior.mollusk

-$4.8K
Tracked Trades
955
First Seen
Apr 18, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 24, 2026

junior.mollusk is a Kalshi trader with 955 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 36 wins and 866 losses on settled markets, -$4.8K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026KFKDEPL6XZ6UL4OI-PYSNFUIB3 on Oct 24.

Win rate
4%
Return on settled
-25%
Money traded
$41.1K
Typical trade
$14.02
Avg entry
2¢
Kalshi rank
#6,275

Profit over time

+$1.6K-$6.0K
Apr 18Oct 18

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢8554%3%-1 pts
20 to 40¢5126%21%-5 pts
40 to 60¢1048%80%+32 pts
60 to 80¢1071%0%-71 pts
Over 80¢2992%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$1 to $92391%-$837.08
$9 to $142392%-$312.80
$14 to $272393%-$356.63
$27 to $1.5K23812%-$3.3K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays9544%-$4.8K
WNBA10%-$0.79

Side taken

Yes 95%5% No

If you had copied junior.mollusk

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$10,893.48
Profit
on $24,000.00 staked
5-235
Record
2% win rate
+45%
Return
Profit over time240 settled trades
+$16.1K+$0.00
Aug 3Oct 12
-$9.0K
Max drawdown
66% below peak
1.2×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.46×
Profit factor
$34.4K won vs $23.5K lost
-0.0 pts
Edge vs implied
2% won at 2¢ avg
Longest losing streak
65
Deepest drawdown
115 trades

By category

sports240 settled+45%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026KFKDEPL6XZ6UL4OI-PYSNFUIB3
Oct 24
Sold Nosold 93¢$676.17Exited
yes Jacoby Brissett: 200+,yes Matthew Stafford: 225+,yes Josh Allen: 225+,no Kirk Cousins: 275+,yes Dak Prescott: 225+,yes Jordan Love: 225+,yes Patrick Mahomes: 225+,yes Justin Herbert: 200+,no Los Angeles R wins by over 7.5 points
Oct 18
Yes2¢$23.37-$23.37
yes Dallas,yes Kansas City,yes Justin Herbert: 1+,yes Josh Allen: 200+,yes Kirk Cousins: 200+,yes Dak Prescott: 225+,yes Patrick Mahomes: 225+,yes Justin Herbert: 200+,yes CeeDee Lamb: 70+,yes Over 50.5 points
Oct 18
Yes2¢$18.63-$18.63
See every position across 899 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Pittsburgh wins by over 2.5 points,no Houston wins by over 3.5 points,yes Chicago wins by over 2.5 points,no Over 40.5 points scored,yes Over 42.5 points scored,yes Over 48.5 points scored,yes Over 42.5 points scored,yes Over 44.5 points scored,yes Over 49.5 points scored,yes Over 38.5 points scored
    $23.26 on Yes at 1¢, Sep 13
    +$1.9K
  2. 2
    yes Tampa Bay,yes Philadelphia,yes Cleveland,yes New York M,yes New York Y,yes Minnesota,yes Los Angeles A
    $20.46 on Yes at 2¢, May 18
    +$1.3K
  3. 3
    yes Arizona,yes San Francisco wins by over 1.5 runs,no Over 13.5 runs scored,no Over 3.5 runs scored,yes Over 9.5 runs scored,yes Over 9.5 runs scored,no Over 8.5 runs scored,yes Over 8.5 runs scored
    $9.35 on Yes at 1¢, Jul 10
    +$925.65
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Houston,yes Pittsburgh,yes New Orleans,yes Washington,yes ATL Falcons wins by over 2.5 points,yes DEN Broncos wins by over 2.5 points,no DET Lions wins by over 5.5 points,yes PIT Steelers wins by over 2.5 points,no SEA Seahawks wins by over 3.5 points1¢20%-$9.24
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026ULLGFEOQQXRHHDW5-LSAZJ6LMA1+$0.00
yes Bryce Young: 200+,yes Dak Prescott: 225+,yes Jordan Love: 225+,yes Trevor Lawrence: 225+,yes Patrick Mahomes: 200+,yes Tyler Shough: 200+,no Jameis Winston: 250+,no Daniel Jones: 250+,no Cam Ward: 250+,yes Jalen Coker: 60+2¢20%-$23.33
yes Washington,yes St. Louis,yes Kansas City,yes Detroit,yes Arizona1¢20%-$13.95
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026B9E35FA99C0-2FFFE2910DF1+$0.00

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 27Oct 24

Profit by month

Apr 2026-$921.25
May 2026-$420.63
Jun 2026-$3.7K
Jul 2026-$316.16
Aug 2026-$434.12
Sep 2026+$1.4K
Oct 2026-$371.56

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