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Stats as of

Kalmad

kalmad

+$1.5K
Tracked Trades
841
First Seen
Jul 21, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 9, 2026
Best In Bitcoin
67% won · 269 settled · +$812.64

Market maker

Market makers buy both sides of the same markets and earn the spread between them. Each of their trades is half of a hedge, not a pick, so copying one side does not copy how they make money.

Active crypto traders who bet one side: silicon, successful.koi2475, Vxtrades

Kalmad is a Kalshi trader with 841 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 191 wins and 91 losses on settled markets, $1.5K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Chicago wins on Nov 9.

Win rate
68%
Return on settled
+11%
Money traded
$30.4K
Typical trade
$4.92
Avg entry
67¢
Kalshi rank
#3,031

Profit over time

+$1.5K-$211.00
Jul 21Nov 9

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢11911%0%-11 pts
20 to 40¢18431%40%+9 pts
40 to 60¢18747%49%+2 pts
60 to 80¢14069%79%+10 pts
Over 80¢21194%88%-7 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $121153%+$0.53
$2 to $521071%+$3.53
$5 to $1921071%+$40.11
$19 to $1.8K21072%+$1.4K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin81867%+$812.64
NFL13100%+$529.13
US elections450%+$105.00
Tech and AI2100%+$4.60
Commodities4+$0.00

Side taken

Yes 56%44% No

If you had copied Kalmad

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$558.12
Profit
on $14,900.00 staked
108-41
Record
72% win rate
+4%
Return
Profit over time149 settled trades
+$1.1K+$0.00
Aug 10Nov 9
-$795.93
Max drawdown
73% below peak
0.7×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.14×
Profit factor
$4.7K won vs $4.1K lost
+6.0 pts
Edge vs implied
72% won at 66¢ avg
Longest losing streak
3
Deepest drawdown
27 trades

By category

crypto142 settled+4%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Chicago wins
Nov 9
Yes90¢$1.8K+$198.50
Seattle wins
Nov 9, 4 fills
Yes96¢sold 99¢$101.39+$4.23
Seattle wins
Nov 9
Sold Nosold 4¢$1.95Exited
See every position across 251 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $690.33 on Yes at 71¢, Jul 23
    +$277.35
  2. 2
    Green Bay wins
    $785.65 on Yes at 75¢, Nov 8
    +$261.88
  3. 3
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $500.52 on No at 66¢, Jul 24
    +$257.85
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?64¢81767%+$815.10
Green Bay wins75¢6100%+$300.00
Chicago wins90¢1100%+$198.50
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Michigan?78¢1100%+$110.00
Seattle wins96¢5100%+$4.23

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 12Nov 9

Profit by month

Jul 2026+$349.91
Aug 2026-$12.37
Sep 2026+$32.48
Oct 2026-$107.44
Nov 2026+$1.2K

Kalshi leaderboards

Similar Kalshi traders

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