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Stats as of

Kearney

kearney

-$598.35
Tracked Trades
1,044
First Seen
Jan 19, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 2, 2026
Best In US elections
72% won · 122 settled · +$2.2K

Kearney is a Kalshi trader with 1,044 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 169 wins and 116 losses on settled markets, -$598.35 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $120.01 by Dec 31, 2026? on Nov 2.

Win rate
59%
Return on settled
-2%
Money traded
$68.8K
Typical trade
$21.07
Avg entry
42¢
Kalshi rank
#6,108

Profit over time

+$1.7K-$1.1K
Jan 26Oct 20

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢8012%0%-12 pts
20 to 40¢33131%44%+13 pts
40 to 60¢26450%42%-8 pts
60 to 80¢21369%66%-4 pts
Over 80¢15688%97%+9 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $726171%+$36.16
$7 to $2126155%-$104.76
$21 to $6026151%-$262.84
$60 to $2.3K26163%-$266.91

Categories

TradesWonProfit
US elections39272%+$2.2K
Commodities3010%-$268.98
NFL22253%-$1.9K
US politics7169%-$306.19
Mentions2517%-$302.94
Baseball1675%+$112.26

Side taken

Yes 61%39% No

If you had copied Kearney

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$671.39
Profit
on $3,400.00 staked
17-17
Record
50% win rate
-20%
Return
18 still open
Profit over time34 settled trades
+$0.00-$728.54
Aug 3Nov 2
-$1.0K
Max drawdown
1293% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.61×
Profit factor
$1.0K won vs $1.7K lost
-8.2 pts
Edge vs implied
50% won at 58¢ avg
Longest losing streak
5
Deepest drawdown
31 trades

By category

sports31 settled-21%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

15 open positions worth $6.1K

The markets Kearney is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what Kearney is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
San Francisco wins by over 9.5 points?
Oct 20, 2 fills
No28¢sold 31¢$56.00+$144.00
San Francisco wins by over 9.5 points?
Oct 20
Yes71¢$177.50-$177.50
Jordan Love: 300+ passing yards
Oct 19
Yes44¢$44.00-$44.00
See every position across 85 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Haley Stevens be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Michigan?
    $9.9K on No at 82¢, Jul 30
    +$2.1K
  2. 2
    KXSENATETXD-26-JTAL
    $3.4K on Yes at 73¢, Feb 27
    +$1.2K
  3. 3
    Will James Fishback receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 Florida Republican Governor primary?
    $874.80 on Yes at 54¢, Jul 22
    +$745.20
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Haley Stevens be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Michigan?82¢7495%+$2.0K
Who will win the 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?27¢4748%-$846.30
KXSENATETXD-26-JTAL68¢4687%+$992.97
Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $120.01 by Dec 31, 2026?36¢131+$0.00
KXTXSENCOMBO-26NOV-TALCOR13¢500%-$656.15

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 5Nov 2

Profit by month

Jan 2026+$26.45
Feb 2026+$1.1K
Mar 2026-$376.93
Apr 2026-$928.86
May 2026-$744.43
Jun 2026+$466.96
Jul 2026+$1.4K
Aug 2026-$846.01
Sep 2026-$180.57
Oct 2026-$526.32

Kalshi leaderboards

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