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Stats as of
known.gut
+$1.9K
- Tracked Trades
- 101
- First Seen
- Mar 15, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 3, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 6% won · 54 settled · +$2.4K
known.gut is a Kalshi trader with 101 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 11 wins and 80 losses on settled markets, $1.9K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20264BC4946B459-D294FB846D6 on Oct 3.
- Win rate
- 12%
- Return on settled
- +80%
- Money traded
- $5.6K
- Typical trade
- $11.04
- Avg entry
- 3¢
- Kalshi rank
- #2,927
Profit over time
+$2.2K-$37.00
Mar 15Sep 30
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢724%4%+0 pts
20 to 40¢1528%29%+0 pts
40 to 60¢345%67%+22 pts
60 to 80¢768%50%-18 pts
Over 80¢497%
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$1 to $9264%-$118.52
$9 to $11258%+$1.1K
$12 to $432513%+$1.3K
$45 to $1.8K2529%-$428.54
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays576%+$2.4K
NBA1110%-$455.03
College football1858%+$357.27
College basketball20%-$165.56
Golf40%-$111.62
Soccer40%-$98.45
Side taken
Yes 91%9% No
If you had copied known.gut
$100 per bet, last 90 days
-$873.93
Profit
on $2,700.00 staked
7-20
Record
26% win rate
-32%
Return
+$0.00-$873.93
Aug 24Sep 28
-$873.93
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.56×
Profit factor
$1.1K won vs $2.0K lost
+6.7 pts
Edge vs implied
26% won at 19¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 6
- Deepest drawdown
- 27 trades
By category
sports27 settled-32%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20264BC4946B459-D294FB846D6
Oct 3
Florida wins
Sep 30
yes New Mexico St.,yes Alabama,yes Missouri,yes Notre Dame,yes Oregon St.,yes Wake Forest,yes South Florida,yes South Carolina,yes Georgia wins by over 13.5 points,yes Over 58.5 points scored
Sep 30
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.5Kyes Arkansas,yes Michigan,yes High Point,yes Vanderbilt,yes Michigan St.,yes Duke,yes Texas,yes Texas A&M,yes VCU$18.60 on Yes at 1¢, Mar 19
- 2+$1.3Kyes Victor Wembanyama: 2+,yes Karl-Anthony Towns: 4+,yes Victor Wembanyama: 2+,yes Karl-Anthony Towns: 15+,yes Mikal Bridges: 10+,yes OG Anunoby: 10+,yes De'Aaron Fox: 10+,yes Dylan Harper: 15+,yes Devin Vassell: 10+,yes Stephon Castle: 10+,yes Victor Wembanyama: 25+,yes Jalen Brunson: 2+,yes Karl-Anthony Towns: 10+,yes Mikal Bridges: 2+,yes De'Aaron Fox: 2+,yes Victor Wembanyama: 8+$9.33 on Yes at 1¢, Jun 4
- 3+$212.32Game 1: San Antonio at Oklahoma City Winner?$95.39 on Yes at 31¢, May 19
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S20264BC4946B459-D294FB846D61+$0.00
Game 1: San Antonio at Oklahoma City Winner?31¢2100%+$212.32
Stanford wins1+$0.00
yes Arkansas,yes Michigan,yes High Point,yes Vanderbilt,yes Michigan St.,yes Duke,yes Texas,yes Texas A&M,yes VCU1¢2100%+$1.5K
Game 5: New York at San Antonio Winner?66¢10%-$271.95
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 6Oct 3
Profit by month
Mar 2026+$1.1K
Apr 2026-$140.42
May 2026-$157.32
Jun 2026+$917.30
Jul 2026-$112.30
Aug 2026-$23.78
Sep 2026+$257.65
Kalshi leaderboards
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