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Stats as of

LargeFarva

largefarva

+$3.3K
Tracked Trades
680
First Seen
Aug 26, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 3, 2026
Best In US elections
90% won · 21 settled · +$2.1K

LargeFarva is a Kalshi trader with 680 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 117 wins and 109 losses on settled markets, $3.3K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Who will win the 2026 Texas Commissioner of Agriculture election? on Nov 3.

Win rate
52%
Return on settled
+23%
Money traded
$39.2K
Typical trade
$19.79
Avg entry
25¢
Kalshi rank
#2,439

Profit over time

+$3.3K-$253.00
Sep 25Nov 3

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1247%5%-2 pts
20 to 40¢12430%57%+26 pts
40 to 60¢19449%54%+5 pts
60 to 80¢17269%69%+0 pts
Over 80¢6691%100%+9 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $517029%-$11.25
$5 to $2017046%+$189.95
$20 to $5817051%+$869.16
$59 to $1.7K17063%+$2.3K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
NFL24546%+$16.61
US elections18283%+$2.5K
Baseball5949%+$185.95
College football9449%+$481.16
Fed and rates2425%+$126.00
Commodities43+$0.00

Side taken

Yes 55%45% No

If you had copied LargeFarva

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$543.92
Profit
on $13,100.00 staked
60-71
Record
46% win rate
+4%
Return
75 still open
Profit over time131 settled trades
+$543.92-$530.11
Aug 24Nov 2
-$1.5K
Max drawdown
272% below peak
0.4×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.08×
Profit factor
$7.6K won vs $7.1K lost
+3.9 pts
Edge vs implied
46% won at 42¢ avg
Longest losing streak
6
Deepest drawdown
63 trades

By category

politics9 settled+73%
sports118 settled-0%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

64 open positions worth $14.2K

The markets LargeFarva is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what LargeFarva is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Full Game: over 40.5 points scored?
Nov 3
Sold Nosold 50¢$40.00Exited
Full Game: over 40.5 points scored?
Nov 3, 2 fills
Yes55¢$55.00+$45.00
Seattle wins by over 2.5 points?
Nov 3
Sold Nosold 73¢$109.50Exited
See every position across 218 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Democratics win the Senate race in Texas?
    $1.8K on Yes at 67¢, Oct 30
    +$887.57
  2. 2
    Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Texas
    $337.00 on Yes at 35¢, Oct 29
    +$613.00
  3. 3
    Texas Tech wins by over 2.5 points
    $251.00 on Yes at 36¢, Oct 31
    +$449.00
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will the number of Democrats who win a statewide election in Texas in 2026 be above 0?68¢65+$0.00
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Texas?68¢1692%+$1.1K
Will San Francisco win the 2027 Pro Football Championship?79¢6+$0.00
Will Democrats win the House in 2026?90¢6+$0.00
Who will win the 2026 Texas Commissioner of Agriculture election?49¢40+$0.00

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 6Nov 3

Profit by month

Sep 2026+$348.89
Oct 2026+$2.8K
Nov 2026+$122.00

Kalshi leaderboards

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