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Stats as of

lead.sun

+$22.8K
Tracked Trades
590
First Seen
Oct 15, 2024
Last Trade
Oct 23, 2026
Best In Parlays
2% won ยท 322 settled ยท +$27.1K

lead.sun is a Kalshi trader with 590 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 78 wins and 373 losses on settled markets, $22.8K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Philadelphia,yes Oklahoma City,no Over 241.5 points,no Over 240.5 points,yes Chicago,no Over 60.5 points,yes New Jersey,yes Boston,yes Dallas,yes Over 3.5 goals scored,yes Over 3.5 goals scored,yes Over 3.5 goals scored on Oct 23.

Win rate
17%
Return on settled
+46%
Money traded
$135.1K
Typical trade
$46.57
Avg entry
1ยข
Kalshi rank
#251

Profit over time

+$22.8K-$5.6K
Oct 15Oct 23

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20ยข3612%2%+0 pts
20 to 40ยข2829%27%-2 pts
40 to 60ยข947%20%-27 pts
60 to 80ยข6674%86%+12 pts
Over 80ยข12693%100%+7 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $2014813%-$526.70
$20 to $471486%-$3.9K
$47 to $13114714%+$9.1K
$133 to $13K14745%+$18.1K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays3312%+$27.1K
Bitcoin12758%+$368.69
NBA2795%+$116.72
Cricket5474%-$111.23
Stocks and indices70%-$2.5K
NFL120%-$2.6K

Side taken

Yes 70%30% No

If you had copied lead.sun

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$7,534.40
Profit
on $22,100.00 staked
11-210
Record
5% win rate
-34%
Return
Profit over time221 settled trades
+$0.00-$17.9K
Aug 17Oct 19
-$18.0K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
โ€”
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.64ร—
Profit factor
$13.5K won vs $21.0K lost
+1.2 pts
Edge vs implied
5% won at 4ยข avg
Longest losing streak
132
Deepest drawdown
217 trades

By category

crypto13 settled+24%
sports208 settled-38%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes Philadelphia,yes Oklahoma City,no Over 241.5 points,no Over 240.5 points,yes Chicago,no Over 60.5 points,yes New Jersey,yes Boston,yes Dallas,yes Over 3.5 goals scored,yes Over 3.5 goals scored,yes Over 3.5 goals scored
Oct 23, 2 fills
Sold Nosold 37ยข$7.9KExited
yes Oklahoma City,no Over 241.5 points,no Over 240.5 points,yes Chicago,no Over 60.5 points,yes New Jersey,yes Boston,yes Dallas,yes Over 3.5 goals scored,yes Over 3.5 goals scored,yes Over 3.5 goals scored
Oct 23
Sold Nosold 0ยข$3.19Exited
Denver wins
Oct 23, 25 fills
No98ยขsold 98ยข$6.0K+$121.97
See every position across 381 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Philadelphia,yes Oklahoma City,no Over 241.5 points,no Over 240.5 points,yes Chicago,no Over 60.5 points,yes New Jersey,yes Boston,yes Dallas,yes Over 3.5 goals scored,yes Over 3.5 goals scored,yes Over 3.5 goals scored
    $276.70 on Yes at 1ยข, Oct 22
    +$21.0K
  2. 2
    yes Miami,yes Seattle,yes Baltimore,yes Cleveland,yes Boston,yes Over 8.5 runs scored,yes Over 9.5 runs scored,yes Over 8.5 runs scored
    $93.33 on Yes at 1ยข, Jun 12
    +$13.2K
  3. 3
    yes Oklahoma City,no Over 241.5 points,no Over 240.5 points,yes Chicago,no Over 60.5 points,yes New Jersey,yes Boston,yes Dallas,yes Over 3.5 goals scored,yes Over 3.5 goals scored,yes Over 3.5 goals scored
    $187.25 on Yes at 5ยข, Oct 23
    +$3.8K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Denver wins98ยข25100%+$121.97
Rajasthan Royals vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru Winner?83ยข31100%+$978.07
Bitcoin price on Apr 17, 2026?89ยข1471%+$118.22
yes Miami,yes Seattle,yes Baltimore,yes Cleveland,yes Boston,yes Over 8.5 runs scored,yes Over 9.5 runs scored,yes Over 8.5 runs scored1ยข2100%+$13.2K
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026IJSLGUNYTBQVIK4Y-AJFURZXJ41+$0.00

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 26Oct 23

Profit by month

Nov 2024-$1.8K
Feb 2025-$232.60
Oct 2025-$235.64
Nov 2025-$1.4K
Feb 2026-$464.07
Apr 2026+$489.82
May 2026-$1.1K
Jun 2026+$10.6K
Jul 2026-$1.4K
Aug 2026-$2.1K
Sep 2026-$2.5K
Oct 2026+$23.7K

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