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Stats as of

leavethecanoli

-$23.4K
Tracked Trades
780
First Seen
Oct 17, 2025
Last Trade
Nov 4, 2026
Best In Commodities
100% won · 17 settled · +$488.57

leavethecanoli is a Kalshi trader with 780 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 105 wins and 77 losses on settled markets, -$23.4K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXPGAMAKECUT-WOWTC26-GHIG on Nov 4.

Win rate
58%
Return on settled
-48%
Money traded
$86.0K
Typical trade
$9.13
Avg entry
65¢
Kalshi rank
#4,706

Profit over time

+$207.00-$25.2K
Oct 17Nov 4

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2689%57%+47 pts
20 to 40¢9829%26%-3 pts
40 to 60¢4551%54%+3 pts
60 to 80¢13170%53%-16 pts
Over 80¢23891%83%-8 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $219564%+$12.95
$2 to $919566%+$271.92
$9 to $4819558%+$169.65
$49 to $6.9K19554%-$23.8K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
US elections12454%-$21.2K
US politics15253%-$1.2K
Mentions9643%-$995.34
Companies2325%-$1.5K
Golf660%-$693.94
Bitcoin3080%+$42.43

Side taken

Yes 50%50% No

If you had copied leavethecanoli

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$428.53
Profit
on $6,200.00 staked
36-26
Record
58% win rate
+7%
Return
30 still open
Profit over time62 settled trades
+$428.53-$442.62
Aug 17Nov 2
-$928.07
Max drawdown
241% below peak
0.5×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.16×
Profit factor
$3.0K won vs $2.6K lost
+2.7 pts
Edge vs implied
58% won at 55¢ avg
Longest losing streak
5
Deepest drawdown
43 trades

By category

finance6 settled+64%
sports19 settled+29%
politics8 settled+28%
culture28 settled-22%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

21 open positions worth $5.4K

The markets leavethecanoli is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what leavethecanoli is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXPGAMAKECUT-WOWTC26-GHIG
Nov 4
Yes59¢$772.02-$772.02
Baltimore: 2+ Field Goals
Nov 3, 4 fills
No55¢$69.31+$57.41
Anfernee Simons: 10+ points
Nov 2
No40¢$100.80+$151.20
See every position across 137 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Washington: 2+ Field Goals
    $643.65 on Yes at 56¢, Nov 2
    +$505.73
  2. 2
    Brisbane Bullets wins
    $150.55 on Yes at 23¢, Nov 1
    +$504.02
  3. 3
    Will average **gas prices** be above $4.08?
    $89.60 on Yes at 16¢, Aug 30
    +$470.40
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 14 to 100 percentage points in New Jersey?83¢120%-$14.4K
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 12 to 13.99 percentage points in New Jersey?73¢2411%-$7.1K
Will a representative of the Democratic party win the NYC Mayor race in 2025?89¢18100%+$227.80
Tesla robotaxi released to public before Jan 1, 2026?70¢70%-$1.5K
Who will be named in Epstein documents released in 2025?70¢100%-$1.4K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 7Nov 4

Profit by month

Oct 2025-$2.4K
Nov 2025-$21.8K
Aug 2026+$419.03
Sep 2026-$713.35
Oct 2026+$232.24
Nov 2026+$848.72

Kalshi leaderboards

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