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Stats as of
lightning11
+$2.9K
- Tracked Trades
- 184
- First Seen
- Dec 4, 2025
- Last Trade
- Nov 9, 2026
- Best In NFL
- 81% won · 31 settled · +$2.7K
lightning11 is a Kalshi trader with 184 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 126 wins and 39 losses on settled markets, $2.9K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY0-S20264UDBPDVFN3ZK3XUH-ECRSLRT2L on Nov 9.
- Win rate
- 76%
- Return on settled
- +4%
- Money traded
- $93.8K
- Typical trade
- $242.08
- Avg entry
- 78¢
- Kalshi rank
- #2,240
Profit over time
+$2.9K-$2.6K
Dec 4Nov 8
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢37%0%-7 pts
20 to 40¢1133%45%+13 pts
40 to 60¢2349%38%-11 pts
60 to 80¢3971%78%+7 pts
Over 80¢10894%90%-4 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$1 to $1134659%+$72.59
$115 to $2414669%-$517.09
$243 to $6034687%+$573.86
$611 to $6.3K4693%+$2.7K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
College basketball3685%+$47.01
NBA6483%-$1.6K
Parlays1840%+$2.0K
NFL3481%+$2.7K
Baseball1392%+$108.86
Mentions1140%-$169.81
Side taken
Yes 88%12% No
If you had copied lightning11
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$870.51
Profit
on $4,100.00 staked
30-11
Record
73% win rate
+21%
Return
1 still open
+$870.51-$4.03
Aug 17Nov 2
-$190.19
Max drawdown
82% below peak
4.6×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.79×
Profit factor
$2.0K won vs $1.1K lost
+10.0 pts
Edge vs implied
73% won at 63¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 1
- Deepest drawdown
- 6 trades
By category
sports39 settled+25%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY0-S20264UDBPDVFN3ZK3XUH-ECRSLRT2L
Nov 9, 2 fills
SF 49ers D/ST: Over 7.7 fantasy points
Nov 8, 8 fills
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY0-S2026YNBHUDL745OSLMH7-I5FKXJCKO
Nov 8, 2 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$3.1KKXMVECROSSCATEGORY0-S2026YNBHUDL745OSLMH7-I5FKXJCKO$2.4K on Yes at 44¢, Nov 4
- 2+$1.0KChicago wins$943.09 on Yes at 48¢, Nov 3
- 3+$414.59Washington wins$1.1K on Yes at 72¢, Nov 2
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY0-S20264UDBPDVFN3ZK3XUH-ECRSLRT2L44¢2+$0.00
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY0-S2026YNBHUDL745OSLMH7-I5FKXJCKO44¢2100%+$3.1K
Stanford at Miami (FL) Winner?98¢2100%+$22.38
Brooklyn at Detroit Winner?99¢10%-$2.0K
Florida at Kentucky Winner?99¢2100%+$19.98
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 12Nov 9
Profit by month
Dec 2025-$280.36
Feb 2026+$808.64
Mar 2026-$1.9K
Apr 2026-$96.06
May 2026-$39.61
Jun 2026-$120.25
Jul 2026-$346.50
Aug 2026-$3.27
Sep 2026-$63.69
Oct 2026-$88.08
Nov 2026+$5.0K
Kalshi leaderboards
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