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Stats as of
plastic.redpanda3499
+$2.9K
- Tracked Trades
- 985
- First Seen
- Aug 21, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 22, 2026
- Best In Bitcoin
- 41% won · 174 settled · +$3.3K
plastic.redpanda3499 is a Kalshi trader with 985 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 205 wins and 484 losses on settled markets, $2.9K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BTC price up in next 15 mins? on Oct 22.
- Win rate
- 30%
- Return on settled
- +14%
- Money traded
- $36.6K
- Typical trade
- $6
- Avg entry
- 26¢
- Kalshi rank
- #2,193
Profit over time
+$5.5K+$0
Aug 21Oct 22
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢25510%6%-4 pts
20 to 40¢51729%30%+1 pts
40 to 60¢10847%57%+10 pts
60 to 80¢1571%100%+29 pts
Over 80¢9095%
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $124728%-$14
$1 to $624621%-$138
$6 to $3024637%+$356
$31 to $2.0K24632%+$2.7K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin27541%+$3.3K
Commodities26521%-$917
Parlays3212%+$110
Ethereum18731%-$512
Other crypto13930%+$1.1K
Currencies3913%-$199
Side taken
Yes 50%50% No
If you had copied plastic.redpanda3499
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$2022
Profit
on $68900 staked
205-484
Record
30% win rate
-3%
Return
+$117-$2.0K
Aug 17Oct 19
-$6.1K
Max drawdown
188% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.96×
Profit factor
$46.4K won vs $48.4K lost
+1.0 pts
Edge vs implied
30% won at 29¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 44
- Deepest drawdown
- 355 trades
By category
sports39 settled+18%
crypto417 settled+11%
finance230 settled-32%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 22
Gold price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 22, 4 fills
Gold price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 22
Biggest wins
- 1+$2.4KBTC price up in next 15 mins?$1.1K on No at 31¢, Oct 22
- 2+$999HYPE price up in next 15 mins?$515 on Yes at 34¢, Oct 22
- 3+$923Gold price up in next 15 mins?$434 on Yes at 32¢, Oct 22
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?31¢27541%+$3.3K
Gold price up in next 15 mins?27¢9529%-$920
ETH price up in next 15 mins?31¢18731%-$512
WTI Oil price up in next 15 mins?24¢14510%-$564
yes Seattle,yes Sam Darnold: 175+,yes Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 4+,yes Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 50+,yes J.K. Dobbins: 25+,yes Emanuel Wilson: 40+,yes Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 1+,yes Rashid Shaheed: 1+,yes Over 36.5 points3¢20%-$57
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 25Oct 22
Profit by month
Aug 2026+$305
Oct 2026+$2.6K
Kalshi leaderboards
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