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Stats as of
lilylucarelli
-$3.9K
- Tracked Trades
- 287
- First Seen
- Nov 5, 2024
- Last Trade
- Nov 8, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 17% won · 42 settled · +$1.7K
lilylucarelli is a Kalshi trader with 287 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 68 wins and 163 losses on settled markets, -$3.9K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Los Angeles L wins by over 3.5 points on Nov 8.
- Win rate
- 29%
- Return on settled
- -9%
- Money traded
- $51.2K
- Typical trade
- $50.10
- Avg entry
- 26¢
- Kalshi rank
- #4,531
Profit over time
+$2.1K-$8.2K
Nov 5Nov 8
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢9210%3%-7 pts
20 to 40¢7030%34%+4 pts
40 to 60¢10648%46%-2 pts
60 to 80¢969%33%-36 pts
Over 80¢1091%
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $147222%-$166.90
$14 to $507227%-$517.58
$50 to $1917233%-$916.92
$195 to $2.0K7134%-$2.3K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
NBA10938%+$1.5K
Baseball6225%-$5.2K
Parlays4817%+$1.7K
Basketball350%-$940.19
Tennis2925%-$621.82
Golf50%-$1.0K
Side taken
Yes 93%7% No
If you had copied lilylucarelli
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$587.45
Profit
on $6,000.00 staked
26-34
Record
43% win rate
+10%
Return
+$587.45-$767.44
Aug 24Nov 2
-$1.1K
Max drawdown
830% below peak
0.5×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.17×
Profit factor
$4.0K won vs $3.4K lost
+5.8 pts
Edge vs implied
43% won at 38¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 11
- Deepest drawdown
- 11 trades
By category
sports59 settled+8%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Los Angeles L wins by over 3.5 points
Nov 8
Los Angeles L wins
Nov 8
Ziaire Williams: 10+ points
Nov 8
Biggest wins
- 1+$2.5Kyes Oklahoma City wins by over 6.5 points,yes Over 216.5 points scored$806.34 on Yes at 24¢, May 20
- 2+$2.5Kyes San Antonio,yes Over 225.5 points scored$509.64 on Yes at 17¢, Jun 9
- 3+$1.6KGame 5: San Antonio at Oklahoma City: Total Points$1.4K on Yes at 47¢, May 27
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
What will be LeBron James's next team?45¢20%-$1.0K
Arizona vs San Francisco Total Runs?69¢20%-$2.0K
Draymond Green: 10+ points25¢110%-$1.8K
Milwaukee wins by over 2.5 runs?53¢2100%+$612.24
Los Angeles L wins by over 3.5 points51¢1100%+$1.4K
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 11Nov 8
Profit by month
Nov 2024-$160.24
Apr 2026-$823.85
May 2026-$2.8K
Jun 2026-$178.93
Jul 2026-$80.24
Aug 2026-$752.62
Sep 2026-$46.90
Oct 2026-$3.4K
Nov 2026+$4.3K
Kalshi leaderboards
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