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Stats as of
lost.will
+$1.9K
- Tracked Trades
- 62
- First Seen
- Oct 3, 2026
- Last Trade
- Nov 4, 2026
lost.will is a Kalshi trader with 62 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 9 wins and 8 losses on settled markets, $1.9K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXNCAAMBSPREAD-26NOV03STETSCAR-SCAR17 on Nov 4.
- Win rate
- 53%
- Return on settled
- +22%
- Money traded
- $36.0K
- Typical trade
- $585.10
- Avg entry
- 43¢
- Kalshi rank
- #2,002
Profit over time
+$1.9K-$1.3K
Oct 3Nov 3
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢116%0%-16 pts
20 to 40¢428%75%+47 pts
40 to 60¢5350%45%-5 pts
60 to 80¢470%100%+31 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$120 to $5101656%+$2.0K
$520 to $59016+$0.00
$590 to $7001567%+$552.93
$720 to $8231540%-$615.32
Categories
TradesWonProfit
NFL2250%+$761.09
NBA160%-$1.2K
College football1350%+$873.54
College basketball9100%+$623.32
US elections1100%+$300.00
Baseball1100%+$520.00
Side taken
Yes 82%18% No
If you had copied lost.will
$100 per bet, last 90 days
+$623.96
Profit
on $1,800.00 staked
10-8
Record
56% win rate
+35%
Return
+$623.96-$217.44
Sep 28Nov 2
Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 18 so far.
By category
sports15 settled+22%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXNCAAMBSPREAD-26NOV03STETSCAR-SCAR17
Nov 4
KXNCAAMBSPREAD-26NOV03SHSUALA-ALA27
Nov 3
Will the Republican party win the governorship in Florida
Nov 3
Biggest wins
- 1+$975.28Oregon wins$360.72 on Yes at 27¢, Oct 31
- 2+$900.00KXNFLGAME-26OCT25TBCAR-TB$600.00 on Yes at 40¢, Oct 25
- 3+$808.40KXNFLGAME-26NOV01KCDEN-DEN$776.70 on Yes at 49¢, Nov 1
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
New England wins by over 7.5 points?2+$0.00
Toronto wins by over 5.5 points2+$0.00
San Antonio wins by over 5.5 points2+$0.00
Philadelphia wins by over 3.5 points?16¢20%-$120.24
Buffalo wins by over 3.5 points?1+$0.00
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 7Nov 4
Profit by month
Oct 2026+$1.1K
Nov 2026+$861.48
Kalshi leaderboards
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