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Stats as of

Luckywhale

luckywhale

+$24.5K
Tracked Trades
1,449
First Seen
Oct 16, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 30, 2026
Best In Bitcoin
60% won · 830 settled · +$24.4K

Luckywhale is a Kalshi trader with 1,449 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 537 wins and 359 losses on settled markets, $24.5K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Gold price up in next 15 mins? on Oct 30.

Win rate
60%
Return on settled
+6%
Money traded
$525.5K
Typical trade
$27.31
Avg entry
77¢
Kalshi rank
#229

Profit over time

+$31.7K-$4.7K
Oct 16Oct 30

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2698%6%-2 pts
20 to 40¢19130%26%-4 pts
40 to 60¢29651%48%-4 pts
60 to 80¢37669%66%-3 pts
Over 80¢31791%93%+2 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $536330%-$1.64
$5 to $2736247%-$260.25
$27 to $19636271%+$333.29
$196 to $9.8K36282%+$24.5K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin132560%+$24.4K
Commodities11666%+$175.45
Parlays814%-$0.84

Side taken

Yes 51%49% No

If you had copied Luckywhale

$100 per bet, last 90 days

-$4,927.04
Profit
on $61,000.00 staked
372-238
Record
61% win rate
-8%
Return
Profit over time610 settled trades
+$0.00-$4.9K
Oct 12Oct 26
-$5.6K
Max drawdown
1627% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.79×
Profit factor
$18.9K won vs $23.8K lost
-1.2 pts
Edge vs implied
61% won at 62¢ avg
Longest losing streak
7
Deepest drawdown
323 trades

By category

other8 settled+15%
finance66 settled-3%
crypto528 settled-8%
sports7 settled-69%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Gold price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 30
Sold Nosold 2¢$0.02Exited
Gold price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 30
Yes60¢$0.49+$0.33
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 30
No74¢$0.74-$0.74
See every position across 504 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $5.8K on No at 59¢, Oct 25
    +$3.9K
  2. 2
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $7.0K on No at 70¢, Oct 25
    +$3.0K
  3. 3
    BTC price up in next 15 mins?
    $6.5K on Yes at 69¢, Oct 25
    +$2.9K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?78¢132560%+$24.4K
Gold price up in next 15 mins?54¢9767%-$13.81
WTI Oil price up in next 15 mins?84¢1960%+$189.26
yes Target Price: $82,392.48,no Target Price: $2,418.498¢20%-$0.94
yes Target Price: $82,387.00,yes Target Price: $6.70112,yes Target Price: $0.0793783,yes Target Price: $2,417.17,yes Target Price: $4,175.03,yes Target Price: $57.637,yes Target Price: $97.46,yes Target Price: $1.308746¢1100%+$5.64

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 2Oct 30

Profit by month

Oct 2026+$24.5K

Kalshi leaderboards

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