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Stats as of
Payne1
payne1
+$24.8K
- Tracked Trades
- 1,295
- First Seen
- Aug 20, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 24, 2026
- Best In Bitcoin
- 32% won · 740 settled · +$31.3K
Payne1 is a Kalshi trader with 1,295 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 247 wins and 636 losses on settled markets, $24.8K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BTC price up in next 15 mins? on Oct 24.
- Win rate
- 28%
- Return on settled
- +6%
- Money traded
- $574.1K
- Typical trade
- $236.27
- Avg entry
- 7¢
- Kalshi rank
- #239
Profit over time
+$45.8K-$8.4K
Aug 20Oct 24
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢4496%7%+0 pts
20 to 40¢31530%33%+3 pts
40 to 60¢24150%50%+0 pts
60 to 80¢6166%85%+19 pts
Over 80¢22989%55%-34 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $4432418%-$2.5K
$44 to $23632416%+$7.2K
$236 to $56032431%-$90.35
$560 to $46K32344%+$20.2K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin113132%+$31.3K
Parlays1050%-$6.1K
NFL3430%-$222.52
College football1929%+$687.36
Golf40%-$140.90
Ethereum10%-$479.37
Side taken
Yes 55%45% No
If you had copied Payne1
$100 per bet, last 90 days
-$9,175.14
Profit
on $70,200.00 staked
183-519
Record
26% win rate
-13%
Return
+$423.41-$9.2K
Aug 17Oct 19
-$11.8K
Max drawdown
461% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.82×
Profit factor
$42.7K won vs $51.9K lost
+1.6 pts
Edge vs implied
26% won at 24¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 28
- Deepest drawdown
- 506 trades
By category
crypto283 settled+8%
other323 settled-11%
sports95 settled-84%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 24
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 20
Dallas wins
Oct 19
Biggest wins
- 1+$10.5KBTC price up in next 15 mins?$357.59 on Yes at 3¢, Oct 14
- 2+$5.4KBTC price up in next 15 mins?$620.22 on Yes at 10¢, Oct 14
- 3+$4.7KBTC price up in next 15 mins?$1.8K on No at 28¢, Oct 14
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?19¢110431%+$22.7K
yes Los Angeles R,yes Baltimore,yes Buffalo,yes Carolina,yes Atlanta,yes Dallas,yes Houston,yes Kansas City,yes New York G,yes New England,yes Tampa Bay,yes Indianapolis,yes San Francisco0¢20%-$186.05
Dallas wins52¢350%-$114.86
New York G wins18¢40%-$1.7K
Seattle wins9¢20%-$235.03
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 27Oct 24
Profit by month
Aug 2026+$4.3K
Sep 2026+$18.4K
Oct 2026+$2.0K
Kalshi leaderboards
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