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Stats as of
luiselmatador
-$138
- Tracked Trades
- 1,442
- First Seen
- Jul 19, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 14, 2026
- Best In College football
- 82% won · 11 settled · +$966
luiselmatador is a Kalshi trader with 1,442 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 233 wins and 920 losses on settled markets, -$138 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXITFWMATCH-26OCT13BALNIK-NIK on Oct 14.
- Win rate
- 20%
- Return on settled
- -1%
- Money traded
- $91.9K
- Typical trade
- $12
- Avg entry
- 5¢
- Kalshi rank
- #4,915
Profit over time
+$2.3K-$889
Jul 19Oct 12
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢6707%5%-2 pts
20 to 40¢34629%35%+6 pts
40 to 60¢20849%42%-7 pts
60 to 80¢6869%79%+10 pts
Over 80¢15092%83%-9 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $436118%-$6
$4 to $1236114%-$605
$12 to $3936022%+$501
$39 to $10.0K36030%-$28
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays4675%-$1.1K
Tennis63329%+$408
Bitcoin23635%+$923
College football1482%+$966
WNBA1140%-$118
Soccer130%-$578
Side taken
Yes 77%23% No
If you had copied luiselmatador
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$11887
Profit
on $103700 staked
207-830
Record
20% win rate
-11%
Return
1 still open
+$5.2K-$12.6K
Jul 20Oct 12
-$25.0K
Max drawdown
237% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.86×
Profit factor
$71.1K won vs $83.0K lost
+0.0 pts
Edge vs implied
20% won at 20¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 55
- Deepest drawdown
- 392 trades
By category
crypto182 settled+33%
sports848 settled-20%
culture7 settled-100%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXITFWMATCH-26OCT13BALNIK-NIK
Oct 14
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026AB4ECDF735A-0BDD6FDCF54
Oct 12
yes Thiago Cigarran,yes Minnesota,yes Oklahoma City,yes Buffalo
Oct 12
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.3Kyes Adrian Mannarino,yes Kristina Liutova,yes Caty McNally$61 on Yes at 5¢, Jul 28
- 2+$1.1Kyes Giuseppe La Vela,yes Maxime Janvier,yes Georgii Kravchenko,yes Grigoriy Lomakin,yes Jakub Vrba,yes Togan Tokac$22 on Yes at 2¢, Jul 26
- 3+$1.0KBTC price up in next 15 mins?$270 on Yes at 21¢, Aug 11
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Holger Rune,yes Yibing Wu,yes Cleveland,yes Los Angeles D,yes Tampa Bay,yes Portland,yes Oklahoma City,yes Minnesota,yes Orlando,yes Phoenix,yes Colorado,yes Edmonton,yes Golden State,yes Atlanta0¢20%-$9
yes Nuno Borges,yes Arthur Fery,yes Arthur Gea,yes Kamil Majchrzak,yes Matteo Berrettini,yes Jaume Munar,yes Holger Rune,yes Miomir Kecmanovic,yes Yunchaokete Bu,yes Tomas Machac,yes Mattia Bellucci,yes Juan Manuel Cerundolo,yes Roman Safiullin,yes Tallon Griekspoor,yes Alex Molcan,yes Matteo Arnaldi,yes Rei Sakamoto,yes San Diego0¢20%-$9
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026D70F991435C-4A9F02A06901+$0
BTC price up in next 15 mins?12¢23635%+$923
yes USA,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 0.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Los Angeles D,yes Los Angeles L,yes Oklahoma City,yes Carolina,yes Buffalo,yes Detroit,yes Vegas0¢20%-$9
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 17Oct 14
Profit by month
Jul 2026+$860
Aug 2026+$207
Sep 2026-$1.1K
Oct 2026-$63
Kalshi leaderboards
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