Stats as of
m4p10
+$1.2K
- Tracked Trades
- 2,828
- First Seen
- Aug 20, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 18, 2026
- Best In Hockey
- 84% won · 140 settled · +$3.0K
m4p10 is a Kalshi trader with 2,828 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 1,077 wins and 1,477 losses on settled markets, $1.2K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXJLEAGUETOTAL-26OCT18FAGVIK-2 on Oct 18.
- Win rate
- 42%
- Return on settled
- +1%
- Money traded
- $226.0K
- Typical trade
- $21
- Avg entry
- 35¢
- Kalshi rank
- #2,261
Profit over time
+$5.3K-$4.1K
Aug 20Oct 17
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢4539%20%+11 pts
20 to 40¢55130%26%-4 pts
40 to 60¢117252%48%-3 pts
60 to 80¢59865%55%-10 pts
Over 80¢5491%25%-66 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $570742%-$74
$5 to $2170739%-$872
$21 to $9570741%-$186
$95 to $2.3K70746%+$2.3K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Soccer181742%-$1.1K
Parlays24919%+$2.6K
College football20045%-$1.1K
NFL15539%-$381
Cricket24143%-$1.8K
Hockey15984%+$3.0K
Side taken
Yes 89%11% No
If you had copied m4p10
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$5586
Profit
on $255400 staked
1077-1477
Record
42% win rate
-2%
Return
5 still open
+$13.4K-$5.6K
Aug 17Oct 12
-$22.0K
Max drawdown
140% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.96×
Profit factor
$142.1K won vs $147.7K lost
-3.9 pts
Edge vs implied
42% won at 46¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 51
- Deepest drawdown
- 1849 trades
By category
other1650 settled+3%
culture10 settled-1%
sports894 settled-11%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
4 open positions worth $2.6K
The markets m4p10 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXSERIEA1H-26OCT17ROMGEN-GEN
Oct 17
KXALEAGUETOTAL-26OCT17AUCMEL-2
Oct 17
Will over 1.5 goals be scored?
Oct 16
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.8Kno Tie 1st Half,yes Nice,yes Bologna$47 on Yes at 3¢, Oct 11
- 2+$1.4Kyes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 1.5 goals scored$189 on Yes at 12¢, Oct 15
- 3+$1.4Kyes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 3.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored$188 on Yes at 12¢, Sep 19
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Will over 2.5 goals be scored?54¢36839%-$1.9K
Will over 1.5 goals be scored?56¢20751%-$3.6K
Over 0.5 1H goals scored55¢16363%+$1.6K
Will over 3.5 goals be scored?55¢14354%+$1.7K
Will over 0.5 goals be scored?52¢9848%+$2.5K
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 21Oct 18
Profit by month
Aug 2026-$305
Sep 2026-$2.5K
Oct 2026+$3.9K
Kalshi leaderboards
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