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Stats as of

magic.schoolbus

+$19.27
Tracked Trades
79
First Seen
Feb 28, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 28, 2026
Best In World politics
70% won · 20 settled · +$115.18

magic.schoolbus is a Kalshi trader with 79 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 14 wins and 7 losses on settled markets, $19.27 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Benjamin Netanyahu become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election? on Oct 28.

Win rate
67%
Return on settled
+1%
Money traded
$18.0K
Typical trade
$47.06
Avg entry
21¢
Kalshi rank
#4,782

Profit over time

+$404.00-$96.00
Jul 15Oct 27

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢238%
20 to 40¢1828%80%+52 pts
40 to 60¢1043%50%+7 pts
60 to 80¢1571%58%-13 pts
Over 80¢1391%100%+9 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $112060%+$5.96
$11 to $472067%-$2.56
$48 to $982086%+$282.04
$99 to $10K1950%-$266.17

Categories

TradesWonProfit
World politics7570%+$115.18
US elections2+$0.00
Soccer20%-$95.91

Side taken

Yes 58%42% No

If you had copied magic.schoolbus

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$336.32
Profit
on $700.00 staked
5-2
Record
71% win rate
+48%
Return
9 still open
Profit over time7 settled trades
+$336.32+$0.00
Oct 19Oct 26

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 7 so far.

By category

politics7 settled+48%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

8 open positions worth $4.7K

The markets magic.schoolbus is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what magic.schoolbus is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will Benjamin Netanyahu become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Oct 28
Sold Nosold 78¢$10.3KExited
Will Likud win above 29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Oct 27, 18 fills
Yes10¢sold 10¢$97.09Exited
Will Likud win above 17 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Oct 27
Sold Nosold 8¢$4.69Exited
See every position across 14 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Likud win above 24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
    $103.35 on Yes at 31¢, Oct 27
    +$235.36
  2. 2
    Will Likud win above 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
    $469.53 on Yes at 76¢, Oct 27
    +$151.70
  3. 3
    Will the bloc of Likud, Otzma Yehudit, RZP-Zehut, Amcha Yisrael, United Torah Judaism, and Shas hold the most seats in the Knesset after the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
    $48.01 on Yes at 41¢, Oct 25
    +$69.33
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Benjamin Netanyahu become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?22¢7+$0.00
Will Likud win above 29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?58¢20+$0.00
Will Ali Khamenei leave office before 2026-03-01T15:00:00.000Z?6¢11+$0.00
Will Likud win above 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?71¢986%+$134.02
Will Likud win above 24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?54¢1044%-$146.76

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 31Oct 28

Profit by month

Jul 2026-$95.91
Oct 2026+$115.18

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