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Stats as of

magnificent.macaw

+$1.4K
Tracked Trades
150
First Seen
Jun 15, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 8, 2026
Best In Parlays
7% won · 81 settled · +$1.3K

magnificent.macaw is a Kalshi trader with 150 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 20 wins and 102 losses on settled markets, $1.4K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026WQJV2OXFP4B5CFLH-2GILV3ZYG on Nov 8.

Win rate
16%
Return on settled
+92%
Money traded
$3.1K
Typical trade
$9.31
Avg entry
2¢
Kalshi rank
#2,968

Profit over time

+$1.4K-$102.00
Jun 15Nov 8

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢886%6%+0 pts
20 to 40¢2529%12%-17 pts
40 to 60¢2147%42%-5 pts
60 to 80¢273%100%+27 pts
Over 80¢1493%80%-13 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $5380%-$77.66
$5 to $93815%-$175.98
$9 to $133720%+$104.57
$19 to $1.0K3730%+$1.6K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays907%+$1.3K
Soccer5536%+$160.68
MMA333%+$2.77
Baseball20%-$14.54

Side taken

Yes 100%0% No

If you had copied magnificent.macaw

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$4,719.29
Profit
on $4,600.00 staked
3-43
Record
7% win rate
+103%
Return
Profit over time46 settled trades
+$4.7K-$3.4K
Sep 28Nov 2
-$3.4K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
1.4×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
2.10×
Profit factor
$9.0K won vs $4.3K lost
-3.4 pts
Edge vs implied
7% won at 10¢ avg
Longest losing streak
28
Deepest drawdown
36 trades

By category

sports46 settled+103%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes Cincinnati,yes Dallas,yes Detroit,yes Los Angeles R,yes New York G,yes Kansas City,yes Amon-Ra St. Brown: 60+,yes Jonathan Taylor: 40+,yes Kenneth Walker III: 60+,yes Ja'Marr Chase: 1+,yes Jahmyr Gibbs: 1+
Nov 8, 2 fills
Yes2¢sold 80¢$23.32+$1.3K
yes Cincinnati,yes Cleveland,yes Dallas,yes Denver,yes Detroit,yes Los Angeles R,yes New York G,yes Kansas City,yes Kenneth Walker III: 80+
Nov 8, 2 fills
Yes2¢sold 6¢$9.30-$9.30
yes Seattle,yes Cincinnati,yes Detroit,yes New England,yes Los Angeles R,yes San Francisco,yes New York G,yes Kansas City
Nov 8
Yes2¢$9.34-$9.34
See every position across 121 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Cincinnati,yes Dallas,yes Detroit,yes Los Angeles R,yes New York G,yes Kansas City,yes Amon-Ra St. Brown: 60+,yes Jonathan Taylor: 40+,yes Kenneth Walker III: 60+,yes Ja'Marr Chase: 1+,yes Jahmyr Gibbs: 1+
    $23.32 on Yes at 2¢, Nov 8
    +$1.3K
  2. 2
    yes Argentina,yes France,yes Norway,yes Lionel Messi: 1+,yes Kylian Mbappe: 1+,yes Erling Haaland: 1+
    $46.96 on Yes at 8¢, Jun 22
    +$525.72
  3. 3
    yes Both Teams To Score,yes Bayern Munich,yes Galatasaray,yes Barcelona wins by more than 1.5 goals,yes PSG wins by more than 1.5 goals
    $9.33 on Yes at 3¢, Nov 3
    +$323.88
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026WQJV2OXFP4B5CFLH-2GILV3ZYG1+$0.00
Mexico vs Korea Republic Winner?37¢2100%+$81.54
Czechia vs Mexico Winner?47¢1100%+$106.53
Germany vs Ivory Coast Winner?30¢2100%+$44.47
yes Egypt,yes Senegal,yes Spain,yes Kylian Mbappe: 1+,yes Erling Haaland: 1+4¢10%-$70.21

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 11Nov 8

Profit by month

Jun 2026+$267.02
Jul 2026-$132.19
Oct 2026-$227.41
Nov 2026+$1.5K

Kalshi leaderboards

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