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Stats as of

Kalshi

MagnoliaMaster

magnoliamaster

+$185.97
Tracked Trades
127
First Seen
Oct 13, 2025
Last Trade
Oct 21, 2026

MagnoliaMaster is a Kalshi trader with 127 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 24 wins and 82 losses on settled markets, $185.97 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: yes Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 1+,yes Michael Porter Jr.: 2+,yes Tyler Herro: 1+,yes Trae Young: 1+,yes Devin Booker: 1+,yes Jalen Green: 1+,yes CJ McCollum: 2+,yes Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 2+,yes Trae Young: 6+,yes LaMelo Ball: 4+,yes Toronto,yes Indiana,yes Paolo Banchero: 15+,yes Michael Porter Jr.: 15+,yes Brandon Miller: 15+,yes Kawhi Leonard: 15+,yes Cooper Flagg: 15+,yes Amen Thompson: 10+,yes Kevin Durant: 15+,yes Trae Young: 10+,yes Klay Thompson: 10+,yes LaMelo Ball: 10+,yes Devin Booker: 15+,yes Jalen Green: 10+,yes Ja Morant: 10+,yes Rui Hachimura: 10+,yes Jaren Jackson Jr.: 10+,yes Amen Thompson: 4+,yes Anthony Davis: 6+,yes Deandre Ayton: 2+,yes Rudy Gobert: 8+,yes Real Madrid,yes Atlanta,yes Allisha Gray: 10+,yes Angel Reese: 10+ on Oct 21.

Win rate
23%
Return on settled
+2%
Money traded
$28.1K
Typical trade
$47.26
Avg entry
9¢
Kalshi rank
#4,624

Profit over time

+$373.00-$1.8K
Oct 13Oct 21

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢538%10%+2 pts
20 to 40¢3430%25%-5 pts
40 to 60¢2449%40%-9 pts
60 to 80¢1071%50%-21 pts
Over 80¢693%100%+7 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $193212%-$198.75
$19 to $473223%+$909.09
$47 to $1423232%+$1.2K
$143 to $11K3123%-$1.7K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays7317%-$146.16
Golf3100%+$963.16
Basketball20%-$189.20
Tennis5100%+$458.60
Soccer814%-$227.37
NFL50%-$236.33

Side taken

Yes 76%24% No

If you had copied MagnoliaMaster

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$3,629.72
Profit
on $6,200.00 staked
15-47
Record
24% win rate
+59%
Return
Profit over time62 settled trades
+$4.1K-$467.50
Aug 3Oct 19
-$1.2K
Max drawdown
28% below peak
3.0×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.77×
Profit factor
$8.3K won vs $4.7K lost
+0.1 pts
Edge vs implied
24% won at 24¢ avg
Longest losing streak
7
Deepest drawdown
13 trades

By category

sports43 settled+94%
crypto16 settled-21%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
yes Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 1+,yes Michael Porter Jr.: 2+,yes Tyler Herro: 1+,yes Trae Young: 1+,yes Devin Booker: 1+,yes Jalen Green: 1+,yes CJ McCollum: 2+,yes Nickeil Alexander-Walker: 2+,yes Trae Young: 6+,yes LaMelo Ball: 4+,yes Toronto,yes Indiana,yes Paolo Banchero: 15+,yes Michael Porter Jr.: 15+,yes Brandon Miller: 15+,yes Kawhi Leonard: 15+,yes Cooper Flagg: 15+,yes Amen Thompson: 10+,yes Kevin Durant: 15+,yes Trae Young: 10+,yes Klay Thompson: 10+,yes LaMelo Ball: 10+,yes Devin Booker: 15+,yes Jalen Green: 10+,yes Ja Morant: 10+,yes Rui Hachimura: 10+,yes Jaren Jackson Jr.: 10+,yes Amen Thompson: 4+,yes Anthony Davis: 6+,yes Deandre Ayton: 2+,yes Rudy Gobert: 8+,yes Real Madrid,yes Atlanta,yes Allisha Gray: 10+,yes Angel Reese: 10+
Oct 21
Yes1¢$5.79-$5.79
Final score Real Madrid wins 3-0?
Oct 21, 4 fills
Yes1¢$46.75-$46.75
yes Dortmund,yes Bayern Munich,yes Liverpool,yes Alaves,yes Atletico,yes Barcelona,yes Real Sociedad,yes Over 1.5 goals scored,yes Over 3.5 goals scored,yes Toluca,yes Inter,yes Milan,yes Roma,yes Aston Villa,yes Inter,yes Real Betis,yes Real Madrid,yes Over 2.5 goals scored
Oct 21
Yes0¢$9.13-$9.13
See every position across 97 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Memphis,yes Denver,yes Chicago,yes Golden State,yes San Antonio,yes New Orleans
    $23.37 on Yes at 2¢, Oct 17
    +$992.72
  2. 2
    yes Denver,yes J.K. Dobbins: 40+,yes Emanuel Wilson: 50+
    $94.01 on Yes at 9¢, Oct 16
    +$939.07
  3. 3
    yes Lionel Messi: 1+,yes Kylian Mbappe: 1+,yes Erling Haaland: 1+
    $141.58 on Yes at 15¢, Jun 22
    +$783.78
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Los Angeles R,yes Baltimore,yes Buffalo,yes Carolina,yes Chicago,yes Dallas,yes Houston,yes Kansas City,yes New York G,yes New England,yes Tampa Bay,yes Indianapolis,yes San Francisco0¢20%-$30.87
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026NHG54WD7MQ2ADT7I-LGRJEBC3Q1+$0.00
yes Tottenham,yes Both Teams To Score,yes Liverpool,yes Roma,yes Dortmund,yes Inter,yes Real Betis,yes Sporting CP,yes Manchester City wins by more than 1.5 goals,yes Real Madrid wins by more than 1.5 goals,yes Over 2.5 goals scored,yes Over 2.5 goals scored3¢20%-$70.12
Will Scottie Scheffler win the TOUR Championship?24¢2100%+$751.67
Will Arizona win the College Basketball National Championship?20¢20%-$189.20

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 24Oct 21

Profit by month

Oct 2025-$187.03
Jan 2026-$18.90
Mar 2026-$1.1K
Jun 2026-$93.14
Aug 2026+$127.04
Sep 2026-$49.33
Oct 2026+$1.5K

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