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Stats as of
match.duck
+$629.31
- Tracked Trades
- 119
- First Seen
- Oct 12, 2025
- Last Trade
- Nov 8, 2026
- Best In College football
- 27% won · 26 settled · +$1.4K
match.duck is a Kalshi trader with 119 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 20 wins and 62 losses on settled markets, $629.31 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY0-S2026VZIISL5OAKL4W7XC-QCVQHYWA6 on Nov 8.
- Win rate
- 24%
- Return on settled
- +8%
- Money traded
- $15.0K
- Typical trade
- $47.60
- Avg entry
- 38¢
- Kalshi rank
- #3,511
Profit over time
+$629.00-$2.2K
Oct 12Nov 8
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2511%0%-11 pts
20 to 40¢4331%38%+8 pts
40 to 60¢2850%24%-26 pts
60 to 80¢1967%30%-37 pts
Over 80¢491%
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $93010%-$121.59
$9 to $483030%+$12.89
$48 to $1443032%-$536.03
$145 to $1.3K2936%+$1.3K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
College football4327%+$1.4K
NFL5029%-$1.6K
Parlays1613%+$968.28
Baseball633%-$132.60
NBA10%-$19.09
Mentions20%-$18.54
Side taken
Yes 98%2% No
If you had copied match.duck
$100 per bet, last 90 days
-$843.10
Profit
on $5,400.00 staked
16-38
Record
30% win rate
-16%
Return
+$403.03-$1.2K
Oct 5Nov 2
-$2.0K
Max drawdown
290% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.78×
Profit factor
$3.0K won vs $3.8K lost
-1.0 pts
Edge vs implied
30% won at 31¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 9
- Deepest drawdown
- 43 trades
By category
sports54 settled-16%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY0-S2026VZIISL5OAKL4W7XC-QCVQHYWA6
Nov 8, 2 fills
Oregon wins
Nov 7, 4 fills
Arizona wins
Nov 7
Biggest wins
- 1+$1.1KOregon wins$441.74 on Yes at 28¢, Nov 7
- 2+$1.1KKXMVECROSSCATEGORY0-S2026VZIISL5OAKL4W7XC-QCVQHYWA6$1.1K on Yes at 50¢, Nov 8
- 3+$770.80BYU wins$362.73 on Yes at 32¢, Oct 17
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Oregon wins41¢4100%+$1.5K
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY0-S2026VZIISL5OAKL4W7XC-QCVQHYWA650¢2100%+$1.1K
Los Angeles R wins55¢70%-$908.19
Nebraska wins43¢40%-$626.30
BYU wins32¢2100%+$770.80
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Aug 11Nov 8
Profit by month
Oct 2025-$66.87
Oct 2026-$1.9K
Nov 2026+$2.6K
Kalshi leaderboards
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