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Stats as of
match.sales
+$100
- Tracked Trades
- 1,003
- First Seen
- Aug 29, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 19, 2026
- Best In College football
- 25% won · 32 settled · +$424
match.sales is a Kalshi trader with 1,003 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 188 wins and 671 losses on settled markets, $100 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Alex Hernandez wins on Oct 19.
- Win rate
- 22%
- Return on settled
- +1%
- Money traded
- $17.8K
- Typical trade
- $4
- Avg entry
- 12¢
- Kalshi rank
- #4,592
Profit over time
+$1.4K-$196
Oct 5Oct 19
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢43210%5%-5 pts
20 to 40¢30529%23%-6 pts
40 to 60¢16850%43%-7 pts
60 to 80¢7366%100%+34 pts
Over 80¢2591%100%+9 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $125116%-$23
$1 to $425119%-$209
$4 to $1825123%-$702
$18 to $1.0K25031%+$1.0K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Tennis70123%-$361
NFL11413%+$54
Boxing7243%-$117
Parlays148%+$27
Golf1+$0
College football4225%+$424
Side taken
Yes 84%16% No
If you had copied match.sales
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$23402
Profit
on $85900 staked
188-671
Record
22% win rate
-27%
Return
+$0-$23.4K
Oct 5Oct 19
-$30.2K
Max drawdown
1672% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.65×
Profit factor
$43.7K won vs $67.1K lost
-4.1 pts
Edge vs implied
22% won at 26¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 167
- Deepest drawdown
- 780 trades
By category
sports845 settled-26%
crypto8 settled-100%
culture6 settled-100%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Alex Hernandez wins
Oct 19
Lorenzo Sonego wins
Oct 19, 17 fills
Lorenzo Sonego wins
Oct 19
Biggest wins
- 1+$935Pittsburgh wins by over 3.5 points?$80 on Yes at 8¢, Oct 18
- 2+$792Gabriela Knutson wins$119 on Yes at 13¢, Oct 14
- 3+$689Golden State wins$112 on Yes at 14¢, Oct 14
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Dallas wins by over 3.5 points?6¢50%-$70
Lorenzo Sonego wins13¢180%-$187
Alex Hernandez wins1+$0
Andrej Nedic wins13¢440%-$395
Will Cameron Young win the TOUR Championship?1+$0
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 22Oct 19
Profit by month
Oct 2026+$100
Kalshi leaderboards
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