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Stats as of

melonbar

-$2.6K
Tracked Trades
1,000
First Seen
Jan 16, 2025
Last Trade
Oct 10, 2026
Best In Esports
63% won · 60 settled · +$1.0K

melonbar is a Kalshi trader with 1,000 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 289 wins and 438 losses on settled markets, -$2.6K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Democratics win the Senate race in Texas? on Oct 10.

Win rate
40%
Return on settled
-7%
Money traded
$52.4K
Typical trade
$16
Avg entry
34¢
Kalshi rank
#4,617

Profit over time

+$0-$4.4K
Jan 16Jul 19

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2218%10%+2 pts
20 to 40¢21031%26%-4 pts
40 to 60¢18149%48%-1 pts
60 to 80¢24072%64%-8 pts
Over 80¢14889%89%+0 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $425030%+$53
$4 to $1625036%+$228
$16 to $5025037%-$179
$51 to $1.5K25053%-$2.7K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
US elections12868%+$143
Esports8063%+$1.0K
Entertainment11925%-$1.6K
Golf9923%+$352
Weather804%-$1.7K
Tech and AI5819%-$967

Side taken

Yes 66%34% No

If you had copied melonbar

$100 per trade, last 90 days

Not enough settled trades to score yet

No trade from the last 90 days has resolved yet. 2 still open.

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

1 open position worth $97

The markets melonbar is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what melonbar is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the Argentina win the 2026 Men's World Cup?
Jul 19, 8 fills
Yes18¢$469-$469
France vs Spain: To Advance
Jul 14
Yes36¢$5-$5
yes France advances,yes Spain advances,yes Norway advances
Jul 7
Yes22¢$19-$19
See every position across 230 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Margin of victory for Zohran Mamdani in the Mayoral Election?
    $1.4K on Yes at 49¢, Nov 5
    +$1.5K
  2. 2
    Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the Super Bowl?
    $1.1K on Yes at 44¢, Feb 4
    +$1.3K
  3. 3
    Will win the Canadian Prime Ministry?
    $2.0K on Yes at 65¢, Apr 3
    +$1.0K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Margin of victory for Zohran Mamdani in the Mayoral Election?47¢9570%+$121
Will Vitality win the TheMongolz vs. Vitality match?94¢9100%+$226
Will the **high temp in NYC** be 30-31° on Feb 20, 2025?23¢630%-$1.0K
Will there be a recession in 2025?50¢2491%-$445
Will weight loss drug prescriptions grow by above 15%?25¢380%-$518

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 13Oct 10

Profit by month

May 2025-$1.3K
Jun 2025+$271
Jul 2025-$54
Sep 2025+$232
Oct 2025-$80
Nov 2025-$199
Dec 2025+$977
Jan 2026-$399
Feb 2026-$81
Apr 2026-$118
May 2026+$178
Jul 2026-$642

Kalshi leaderboards

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