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Stats as of

michaei06

+$69
Tracked Trades
158
First Seen
Dec 29, 2025
Last Trade
Oct 5, 2026
Best In NFL
40% won · 15 settled · +$438

michaei06 is a Kalshi trader with 158 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 34 wins and 114 losses on settled markets, $69 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S202649318FF1389-09D51E9593E on Oct 5.

Win rate
23%
Return on settled
+1%
Money traded
$11.5K
Typical trade
$29
Avg entry
9¢
Kalshi rank
#4,536

Profit over time

+$1.1K-$597
Dec 29Oct 3

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢908%11%+2 pts
20 to 40¢2929%14%-15 pts
40 to 60¢2350%50%+0 pts
60 to 80¢1266%83%+18 pts
Over 80¢492%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$1 to $194015%+$368
$19 to $294013%+$513
$33 to $543924%-$720
$54 to $1.3K3944%-$92

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays8110%-$897
Soccer3547%+$121
NFL1840%+$438
Baseball50%-$59
NBA1033%+$235
MMA40%-$124

Side taken

Yes 96%4% No

If you had copied michaei06

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$2337
Profit
on $4300 staked
9-34
Record
21% win rate
+54%
Return
Profit over time43 settled trades
+$2.3K-$173
Aug 3Sep 28
-$2.0K
Max drawdown
470% below peak
1.2×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.69×
Profit factor
$5.7K won vs $3.4K lost
+3.7 pts
Edge vs implied
21% won at 17¢ avg
Longest losing streak
19
Deepest drawdown
25 trades

By category

sports43 settled+54%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S202649318FF1389-09D51E9593E
Oct 5
Sold Nosold 86¢$1.3KExited
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026FB07A5DFC15-70A42769E1F
Oct 5
Sold Nosold 90¢$700Exited
yes Bryce Young: 2+,yes Jared Goff: 2+,yes Tetairoa McMillan: 1+,yes Amon-Ra St. Brown: 1+
Oct 3
Yes12¢$94-$94
See every position across 132 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Deshaun Watson: 1+,yes Aaron Rodgers: 1+,yes Denzel Boston: 40+,yes Jaylen Warren: 25+,yes Deshaun Watson: 15+,yes Quinshon Judkins: 30+
    $28 on Yes at 4¢, Oct 1
    +$625
  2. 2
    Seattle wins by over 3.5 points?
    $557 on Yes at 55¢, Feb 8
    +$456
  3. 3
    Will San Antonio vs New York be the matchup in the 2025-26 Pro Basketball Finals?
    $18 on Yes at 4¢, Apr 16
    +$427
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S202649318FF1389-09D51E9593E1+$0
Will Tampa Bay win the 2026 Pro Baseball Championship?2¢2+$0
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026FB07A5DFC15-70A42769E1F1+$0
Seattle wins by over 3.5 points?55¢1100%+$456
yes New England,yes Los Angeles R33¢617%+$129

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 8Oct 5

Profit by month

Dec 2025+$24
Jan 2026+$69
Feb 2026+$456
Apr 2026+$322
May 2026-$85
Jun 2026-$463
Jul 2026-$361
Aug 2026+$222
Sep 2026-$739
Oct 2026+$623

Kalshi leaderboards

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