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Stats as of

premium.groundhog9303

+$70
Tracked Trades
1,015
First Seen
Oct 9, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 22, 2026
Best In Commodities
79% won · 24 settled · +$198

premium.groundhog9303 is a Kalshi trader with 1,015 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 32 wins and 18 losses on settled markets, $70 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: KXKRCC-26NOV07-T94 on Oct 22.

Win rate
64%
Return on settled
+5%
Money traded
$86.0K
Typical trade
$22
Avg entry
46¢
Kalshi rank
#4,534

Profit over time

+$150-$217
Oct 9Oct 18

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢16510%0%-10 pts
20 to 40¢18830%29%-1 pts
40 to 60¢25149%50%+1 pts
60 to 80¢19369%88%+19 pts
Over 80¢21888%94%+6 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $425467%+$4
$4 to $2225473%-$6
$23 to $9025455%+$54
$90 to $1.0K25357%+$18

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Companies588+$0
Entertainment21648%-$322
Commodities9379%+$198
NFL59+$0
US politics440%-$39
Other sports15100%+$233

Side taken

Yes 63%37% No

If you had copied premium.groundhog9303

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$127
Profit
on $5000 staked
32-18
Record
64% win rate
-3%
Return
254 still open
Profit over time50 settled trades
+$0-$127
Oct 5Oct 19
-$737
Max drawdown
185% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.93×
Profit factor
$1.7K won vs $1.8K lost
+4.0 pts
Edge vs implied
64% won at 60¢ avg
Longest losing streak
4
Deepest drawdown
11 trades

By category

finance24 settled+18%
culture23 settled-31%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

71 open positions worth $14.6K

The markets premium.groundhog9303 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what premium.groundhog9303 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
KXKRCC-26NOV07-T94
Oct 22
Sold Yessold 56¢$561Exited
KXHDCC-26NOV07-T101
Oct 22
Sold Nosold 82¢$558Exited
KXAALCC-26NOV07-T107
Oct 22
Sold Nosold 79¢$536Exited
See every position across 320 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Petrushov Sergei Valentinovich wins
    $96 on No at 32¢, Oct 16
    +$204
  2. 2
    Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 15, 2026 be above 73,500 MW?
    $121 on Yes at 58¢, Oct 15
    +$87
  3. 3
    Will Bad Bunny have above 27.5M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?
    $69 on No at 59¢, Oct 14
    +$48
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Drake have above 13.75M daily views at any point during October 5, 2026 - October 11, 2026?3+$0
Will Ariana Grande have above 14.5M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?80¢15100%+$17
Will Olivia Rodrigo have above 7.5M daily views at any point during October 12, 2026 - October 18, 2026?4+$0
Will ESPN: Live Sports & Scores App Downloads for October 2026 be above 50 ?71¢7+$0
Will Footwear Retail Ad Spend for October 2026 be above 80?39¢25+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 25Oct 22

Profit by month

Oct 2026+$70

Kalshi leaderboards

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