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Stats as of

Kalshi

michaeldsr21

+$372.37
Tracked Trades
498
First Seen
Jan 4, 2026
Last Trade
Nov 3, 2026
Best In Baseball
44% won · 27 settled · +$260.46

michaeldsr21 is a Kalshi trader with 498 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 76 wins and 121 losses on settled markets, $372.37 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Seattle win the 2nd Half? on Nov 3.

Win rate
39%
Return on settled
+6%
Money traded
$22.4K
Typical trade
$23.05
Avg entry
14¢
Kalshi rank
#4,542

Profit over time

+$467.00-$450.00
Jan 4Nov 3

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1879%17%+8 pts
20 to 40¢14630%32%+2 pts
40 to 60¢11849%54%+5 pts
60 to 80¢2869%67%-3 pts
Over 80¢1990%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $912521%+$177.62
$9 to $2312537%+$262.47
$23 to $4412448%+$275.41
$45 to $5.5K12447%-$343.13

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Parlays26128%+$102.19
Soccer9043%-$94.68
NBA4454%-$34.39
Baseball4344%+$260.46
NFL2120%+$79.76
College basketball467%+$12.06

Side taken

Yes 76%24% No

If you had copied michaeldsr21

$100 per bet, last 90 days

+$1,058.49
Profit
on $3,000.00 staked
8-22
Record
27% win rate
+35%
Return
53 still open
Profit over time30 settled trades
+$2.6K+$0.00
Aug 3Nov 2
-$1.7K
Max drawdown
62% below peak
0.6×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.48×
Profit factor
$3.3K won vs $2.2K lost
+4.3 pts
Edge vs implied
27% won at 22¢ avg
Longest losing streak
14
Deepest drawdown
23 trades

By category

sports30 settled+35%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

55 open positions worth $1.3K

The markets michaeldsr21 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what michaeldsr21 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will Seattle win the 2nd Half?
Nov 3
Sold Nosold 59¢$233.41Exited
Will Seattle win the 2nd Half?
Nov 3, 3 fills
Yes24¢$94.95-$94.95
Will Chicago win the 3rd Quarter?
Nov 3, 3 fills
Sold Nosold 38¢$199.41Exited
See every position across 375 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Chicago win the 3rd Quarter?
    $187.81 on Yes at 36¢, Nov 3
    +$336.94
  2. 2
    yes Harold Fannin Jr.: 1+,yes Pat Freiermuth: 1+
    $9.36 on Yes at 5¢, Oct 1
    +$189.79
  3. 3
    Orlando at Los Angeles L Winner?
    $63.70 on Yes at 27¢, Feb 25
    +$171.30
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
yes Luka Dončić: 3+,yes Tyrese Haliburton: 8+,yes Trae Young: 8+,yes LaMelo Ball: 6+,yes Ja Morant: 4+,yes Jalen Johnson: 20+,yes Paolo Banchero: 20+,yes Michael Porter Jr.: 20+,yes Norman Powell: 15+,yes Kawhi Leonard: 20+,yes Kyrie Irving: 15+,yes Kevin Durant: 20+,yes Andrew Nembhard: 10+,yes Tyler Herro: 20+,yes Giannis Antetokounmpo: 25+,yes Dillon Brooks: 15+,yes Lauri Markkanen: 20+,yes Moussa Diabaté: 8+,yes Luka Dončić: 6+,yes Zach Edey: 8+0¢2+$0.00
yes Bryce Young: 200+,yes Jordan Love: 200+,yes Christian Watson: 4+,yes Josh Jacobs: 2+,yes Chuba Hubbard: 50+,yes Chuba Hubbard: 1+15¢2+$0.00
Will Chicago win the 3rd Quarter?36¢3100%+$336.94
Game 1: Houston at Los Angeles L: Spread55¢20%-$330.02
Will Seattle win the 2nd Half?24¢20%-$94.95

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Aug 6Nov 3

Profit by month

Jan 2026+$111.79
Feb 2026-$89.40
Mar 2026-$106.98
Apr 2026-$340.22
May 2026+$211.13
Jun 2026+$129.20
Jul 2026+$114.43
Aug 2026+$216.87
Oct 2026-$10.01
Nov 2026+$135.56

Kalshi leaderboards

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