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Stats as of
civilian.frog2561
+$288
- Tracked Trades
- 985
- First Seen
- Sep 4, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 18, 2026
- Best In Parlays
- 50% won · 12 settled · +$1.3K
civilian.frog2561 is a Kalshi trader with 985 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 514 wins and 198 losses on settled markets, $288 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BTC price up in next 15 mins? on Oct 18.
- Win rate
- 72%
- Return on settled
- +0%
- Money traded
- $86.7K
- Typical trade
- $5
- Avg entry
- 83¢
- Kalshi rank
- #4,242
Profit over time
+$1.1K-$2.7K
Sep 4Oct 18
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2624%1%-2 pts
20 to 40¢5525%4%-21 pts
40 to 60¢2846%46%+0 pts
60 to 80¢6372%65%-8 pts
Over 80¢57791%92%+1 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $024758%-$10
$0 to $524660%-$100
$5 to $6424678%+$5
$65 to $2.5K24684%+$393
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin77488%-$892
Parlays1750%+$1.3K
Soccer4541%+$28
Other crypto8724%-$134
Solana4731%-$24
XRP80%-$24
Side taken
Yes 46%54% No
If you had copied civilian.frog2561
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$11610
Profit
on $71200 staked
514-198
Record
72% win rate
-16%
Return
+$0-$13.9K
Aug 31Oct 12
-$15.2K
Max drawdown
1255% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.41×
Profit factor
$8.2K won vs $19.8K lost
-2.2 pts
Edge vs implied
72% won at 74¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 107
- Deepest drawdown
- 267 trades
By category
sports55 settled-16%
crypto653 settled-17%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 18
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 18, 2 fills
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 18
Biggest wins
- 1+$931yes Bayern Munich,yes Manchester City,yes Atletico,yes Barcelona,yes PSG,yes Inter$114 on Yes at 11¢, Oct 16
- 2+$349BTC price up in next 15 mins?$3.1K on Yes at 90¢, Oct 18
- 3+$262BTC price up in next 15 mins?$986 on No at 79¢, Sep 5
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?88¢60689%-$1.0K
Bitcoin price on Sep 19, 2026?92¢4694%+$149
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026NTBDWX5QW6QXV4ME-Z2LKFPSHG93¢1100%+$174
Bitcoin price on Oct 18, 2026?86¢2950%+$185
KXMVECROSSCATEGORY-S2026OYBX6RHNWP7HGH2B-H6Q3BJPBX91¢1100%+$215
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 21Oct 18
Profit by month
Sep 2026-$1.5K
Oct 2026+$1.8K
Kalshi leaderboards
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